Domagnano vs La Fiorita: prediction and stats
CampionatoRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio di Domagnano, Domagnano
The Footlab model makes La Fiorita the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Domagnano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Domagnano vs La Fiorita?
La Fiorita starts as the favourite with a 239-point Elo edge (1,418 vs 1,179).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Domagnano have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; La Fiorita have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Tre Penne(away) | 1-3 | Campionato |
| May 12, 2026 | Virtus(home) | 2-1 | Campionato |
| May 9, 2026 | Virtus(away) | 1-2 | Campionato |
| May 5, 2026 | Folgore(away) | 3-1 | Campionato |
| May 2, 2026 | Folgore(home) | 0-1 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2026 | UNA Strassen(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 7, 2026 | UNA Strassen(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| May 23, 2026 | Tre Fiori(away) | 3-1 | Coppa Titano |
| May 16, 2026 | Virtus(away) | 1-2 | Campionato |
| May 12, 2026 | Tre Penne(away) | 1-0 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Domagnano win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 La Fiorita win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Domagnano 1-1 La Fiorita | Campionato |
| Dec 14, 2025 | La Fiorita 1-1 Domagnano | Campionato |
| Mar 16, 2025 | La Fiorita 3-0 Domagnano | Campionato |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Domagnano 0-2 La Fiorita | Campionato |
| Apr 14, 2024 | La Fiorita 2-0 Domagnano | Campionato |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Domagnano 1-6 La Fiorita | Campionato |
Last archived meeting: Domagnano vs La Fiorita on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Domagnano score 2.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; La Fiorita score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domagnano | 2.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| La Fiorita | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Domagnano sit 6th in Campionato (49 points from 30 matches) and La Fiorita sit 4th (57 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64 | 25 | 57 |
| 6 | Domagnano | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 36 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Domagnano vs La Fiorita?
- The Footlab model makes La Fiorita the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Domagnano.
- Where and when is Domagnano vs La Fiorita played?
- Domagnano vs La Fiorita is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio di Domagnano, in the Campionato.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.