Libertas vs Faetano: prediction and stats
CampionatoRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo di Borgo Maggiore, Borgo Maggiore
The Footlab model makes Libertas the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Faetano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Libertas vs Faetano?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Libertas (1,037) and Faetano (959).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Libertas have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Faetano have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana(away) | 1-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Virtus(home) | 0-9 | Campionato |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Tre Penne(home) | 1-3 | Campionato |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Tre Fiori(away) | 0-3 | Campionato |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana(home) | 1-0 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cosmos(away) | 0-2 | Campionato |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Tre Fiori(home) | 0-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Fiorentino(away) | 2-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Domagnano(home) | 0-1 | Campionato |
| Mar 21, 2026 | San Giovanni(away) | 0-2 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Libertas win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Faetano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Libertas 2-1 Faetano | Campionato |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Faetano 1-1 Libertas | Campionato |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Libertas 2-4 Faetano | Campionato |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Faetano 3-1 Libertas | Campionato |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Libertas 1-3 Faetano | Campionato |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Faetano 1-2 Libertas | Campionato |
How many goals should we expect?
Libertas score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Faetano score 0.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertas | 1.3 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Faetano | 0.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Libertas sit 10th in Campionato (35 points from 30 matches) and Faetano sit 13th (22 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Libertas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 63 | 35 |
| 13 | Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22 | 55 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Libertas vs Faetano?
- The Footlab model makes Libertas the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Faetano.
- Where and when is Libertas vs Faetano played?
- Libertas vs Faetano is played on September 18, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo di Borgo Maggiore, in the Campionato.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.