Folgore vs San Marino Academy: prediction and stats
CampionatoRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo di Falciano, Falciano
The Footlab model makes Folgore the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for San Marino Academy. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Folgore vs San Marino Academy?
Folgore is a heavy favourite: 1,259 Elo points against 945, a 315-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Folgore have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; San Marino Academy have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Domagnano(home) | 1-3 | Campionato |
| May 2, 2026 | Domagnano(away) | 1-0 | Campionato |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Domagnano(away) | 7-3 | Campionato |
| Apr 19, 2026 | San Marino Academy(home) | 3-0 | Campionato |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana(away) | 2-2 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Cailungo(home) | 1-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Folgore(away) | 0-3 | Campionato |
| Apr 11, 2026 | San Giovanni(away) | 0-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Fiorentino(home) | 0-3 | Campionato |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana(away) | 0-0 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Folgore win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 San Marino Academy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Folgore 3-0 San Marino Academy | Campionato |
| Dec 20, 2025 | San Marino Academy 0-3 Folgore | Campionato |
| Feb 23, 2025 | San Marino Academy 1-3 Folgore | Campionato |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Folgore 2-0 San Marino Academy | Campionato |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Folgore 1-1 San Marino Academy | Campionato |
| Jan 13, 2024 | San Marino Academy 0-4 Folgore | Campionato |
Last archived meeting: Folgore vs San Marino Academy on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Folgore score 2.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; San Marino Academy score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Folgore | 2.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| San Marino Academy | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Folgore sit 5th in Campionato (57 points from 30 matches) and San Marino Academy sit 14th (16 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Folgore | 30 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 67 | 33 | 57 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23 | 60 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Folgore vs San Marino Academy?
- The Footlab model makes Folgore the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for San Marino Academy.
- Where and when is Folgore vs San Marino Academy played?
- Folgore vs San Marino Academy is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo di Falciano, in the Campionato.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.