San Giovanni vs Cailungo: prediction and stats
CampionatoRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo di Borgo Maggiore, Borgo Maggiore
The Footlab model makes San Giovanni the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Cailungo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Giovanni vs Cailungo?
San Giovanni starts as the favourite with a 264-point Elo edge (1,128 vs 864).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Giovanni have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Cailungo have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tre Penne(away) | 0-4 | Campionato |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Domagnano(home) | 0-2 | Campionato |
| Apr 11, 2026 | San Marino Academy(home) | 1-0 | Campionato |
| Apr 7, 2026 | La Fiorita(away) | 0-3 | Campionato |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Faetano(home) | 2-0 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | San Marino Academy(away) | 1-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Virtus(home) | 1-6 | Campionato |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Tre Penne(away) | 1-6 | Campionato |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Pennarossa(home) | 1-2 | Campionato |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Cosmos(away) | 1-2 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 San Giovanni win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Cailungo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | San Giovanni 2-1 Cailungo | Campionato |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Cailungo 1-3 San Giovanni | Campionato |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Cailungo 0-3 San Giovanni | Campionato |
| Oct 27, 2024 | San Giovanni 5-1 Cailungo | Campionato |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Cailungo 0-4 San Giovanni | Campionato |
| Dec 9, 2023 | San Giovanni 5-0 Cailungo | Campionato |
Last archived meeting: San Giovanni vs Cailungo on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Giovanni score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cailungo score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Giovanni | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Cailungo | 1.1 | 2.5 | 1 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Giovanni sit 12th in Campionato (31 points from 30 matches) and Cailungo sit 15th (11 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | San Giovanni | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 24 | 43 | 31 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 71 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Giovanni vs Cailungo?
- The Footlab model makes San Giovanni the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Cailungo.
- Where and when is San Giovanni vs Cailungo played?
- San Giovanni vs Cailungo is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo di Borgo Maggiore, in the Campionato.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.