Dorking Wanderers vs Tonbridge Angels: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 45Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Meadowbank Stadium, Dorking, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Tonbridge Angels. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dorking Wanderers vs Tonbridge Angels?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Dorking Wanderers (1,880) and Tonbridge Angels (1,808).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dorking Wanderers have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Tonbridge Angels have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Totton(away) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maidenhead(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torquay(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 4-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dorking Wanderers win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Tonbridge Angels win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels 2-2 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Dorking Wanderers 4-1 Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Dorking Wanderers 1-0 Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Dorking Wanderers 1-3 Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Tonbridge Angels 3-1 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Tonbridge Angels vs Dorking Wanderers on Jan 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dorking Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tonbridge Angels score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorking Wanderers | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Tonbridge Angels | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dorking Wanderers sit 16th in National League - South (4 points from 4 matches) and Tonbridge Angels sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Tonbridge Angels | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 16 | Dorking Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dorking Wanderers vs Tonbridge Angels?
- The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Tonbridge Angels.
- Where and when is Dorking Wanderers vs Tonbridge Angels played?
- Dorking Wanderers vs Tonbridge Angels is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Meadowbank Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Maidstone UtdvsAFC Totton
- Apr 17, 2027TorquayvsEbbsfleet United
- Apr 17, 2027BraintreevsMaidenhead
- Apr 17, 2027Billericay TownvsWalton & Hersham
- Apr 17, 2027Slough TownvsChelmsford City
- Apr 17, 2027Weston-super-MarevsHorsham
- Apr 17, 2027Truro CityvsFarnborough
- Apr 17, 2027Folkestone InvictavsDagenham & Redbridge