Match

Dorking Wanderers vs Tonbridge Angels: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 45Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Meadowbank Stadium, Dorking, Surrey

Dorking WanderersTonbridge Angels

The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Tonbridge Angels. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dorking Wanderers vs Tonbridge Angels?

A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Dorking Wanderers (1,880) and Tonbridge Angels (1,808).

Dorking Wanderers win48 %
Draw25 %
Tonbridge Angels win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dorking Wanderers have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Tonbridge Angels have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dorking Wanderers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Maidstone Utd(home)2-3National League - South
Aug 18, 2026AFC Totton(away)3-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Maidenhead(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(home)0-1National League - South
Jul 28, 2026Dulwich Hamlet(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Tonbridge Angels
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Truro City(home)0-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Dover(away)1-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Torquay(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Braintree(away)4-0National League - South
Jul 28, 2026Eastbourne Borough(home)4-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dorking Wanderers win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Tonbridge Angels win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 3, 2026Tonbridge Angels 2-2 Dorking WanderersNational League - South
Aug 25, 2025Dorking Wanderers 4-1 Tonbridge AngelsNational League - South
Feb 11, 2025Dorking Wanderers 1-0 Tonbridge AngelsNational League - South
Oct 22, 2024Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Dorking WanderersNational League - South
Feb 5, 2022Dorking Wanderers 1-3 Tonbridge AngelsNational League - South
Sep 25, 2021Tonbridge Angels 3-1 Dorking WanderersNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Tonbridge Angels vs Dorking Wanderers on Jan 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Dorking Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tonbridge Angels score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Dorking Wanderers1.11.738/159/15
Tonbridge Angels1.71.248/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dorking Wanderers sit 16th in National League - South (4 points from 4 matches) and Tonbridge Angels sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Tonbridge Angels4202646
16Dorking Wanderers4112544

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dorking Wanderers vs Tonbridge Angels?
The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Tonbridge Angels.
Where and when is Dorking Wanderers vs Tonbridge Angels played?
Dorking Wanderers vs Tonbridge Angels is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Meadowbank Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Dorking Wanderers and Tonbridge Angels

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