Dover vs Maidstone Utd: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 25Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1. If Maidstone Utd wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dover vs Maidstone Utd?
Maidstone Utd starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,939 vs 1,808).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dover vs Maidstone Utd
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dover
Not enough data to predict the Dover lineup.
Maidstone Utd
Not enough data to predict the Maidstone Utd lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Maidstone Utd have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 4-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Horsham(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 1-2 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dover win, 0 draws, 5 Maidstone Utd wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Dover 0-2 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Maidstone Utd 1-0 Dover | National League - South |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Dover 0-1 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
| Nov 14, 2023 | Maidstone Utd 1-0 Dover | National League - South |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Maidstone Utd 3-0 Dover | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 1, 2019 | Maidstone Utd 0-1 Dover | National League |
Last archived meeting: Dover vs Maidstone Utd on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dover score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Maidstone Utd score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dover | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Maidstone Utd | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dover sit 8th in National League - South (18 points from 11 matches) and Maidstone Utd sit 1st (22 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone Utd | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 22 |
| 8 | Dover | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 18 |
A question about Dover vs Maidstone Utd?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dover vs Maidstone Utd?
- The Footlab AI model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Dover.
- Where and when is Dover vs Maidstone Utd played?
- Dover vs Maidstone Utd is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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