Where and when is Dover vs Maidstone Utd played?

Dover vs Maidstone Utd is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Dover vs Maidstone Utd: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 25Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent

Dover

Maidstone Utd

The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dover vs Maidstone Utd?

Maidstone Utd starts as the favourite with a 204-point Elo edge (1,926 vs 1,722).

Dover win22 %

Draw23 %

Maidstone Utd win55 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Maidstone Utd have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dover
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Weston-super-Mare(away)	3-2	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Tonbridge Angels(home)	0-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Slough Town(home)	5-3	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Billericay Town(away)	0-2	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	Carshalton Athletic(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

Maidstone Utd
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Dorking Wanderers(away)	3-2	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Folkestone Invicta(home)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Walton & Hersham(away)	3-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Farnborough(home)	1-2	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	Chatham Town(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dover win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Maidstone Utd win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 3, 2026	Dover 0-2 Maidstone Utd	National League - South
Dec 26, 2025	Maidstone Utd 1-0 Dover	National League - South
Mar 2, 2024	Dover 0-1 Maidstone Utd	National League - South
Nov 14, 2023	Maidstone Utd 1-0 Dover	National League - South
Sep 26, 2020	Maidstone Utd 3-0 Dover	Friendlies Clubs
Jan 1, 2019	Maidstone Utd 0-1 Dover	National League

Last archived meeting: Dover vs Maidstone Utd on Apr 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Maidstone Utd score 2.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Dover	1.2	1.8	2	7/15	8/15
Maidstone Utd	2.4	1.2	6	9/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dover sit 10th in National League - South (6 points from 4 matches) and Maidstone Utd sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Maidstone Utd	4	2	1	1	8	5	7
10	Dover	4	2	0	2	8	8	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dover vs Maidstone Utd?: The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Dover.
Where and when is Dover vs Maidstone Utd played?: Dover vs Maidstone Utd is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.