Match

Braintree vs Ebbsfleet United: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 25Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Cressing Road Stadium, Braintree, Essex

BraintreeEbbsfleet United

The Footlab model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Braintree. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Braintree vs Ebbsfleet United?

Ebbsfleet United starts as the favourite with a 176-point Elo edge (1,812 vs 1,636).

Braintree win29 %
Draw25 %
Ebbsfleet United win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Braintree have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Braintree
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Horsham(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Ipswich Town U21(home)1-1National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026Chesham United(home)3-2National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Tonbridge Angels(home)0-4National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Aldershot Town(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Ebbsfleet United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 31, 2026Gillingham(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Cray Valley PM(away)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026West Ham United U21(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 7, 2026Dartford(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Worthing(away)0-2National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Braintree win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ebbsfleet United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 13, 2025Ebbsfleet United 3-1 BraintreeFA Trophy
Jan 25, 2025Ebbsfleet United 0-1 BraintreeNational League
Aug 26, 2024Braintree 0-0 Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League
Apr 10, 2023Braintree 3-2 Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League - South
Sep 13, 2022Ebbsfleet United 4-0 BraintreeNational League - South
Mar 15, 2022Braintree 1-0 Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Ebbsfleet United vs Braintree on Dec 13, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Braintree score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ebbsfleet United score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Braintree1.52.3212/1513/15
Ebbsfleet United1.91.5310/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
20Braintree3102483

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Braintree vs Ebbsfleet United?
The Footlab model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Braintree.
Where and when is Braintree vs Ebbsfleet United played?
Braintree vs Ebbsfleet United is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Cressing Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Braintree and Ebbsfleet United

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