Braintree vs Ebbsfleet United: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 25Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Cressing Road Stadium, Braintree, Essex
The Footlab model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Braintree. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Braintree vs Ebbsfleet United?
Ebbsfleet United starts as the favourite with a 176-point Elo edge (1,812 vs 1,636).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Braintree have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Horsham(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ipswich Town U21(home) | 1-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(home) | 0-4 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Cray Valley PM(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | West Ham United U21(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Dartford(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Braintree win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ebbsfleet United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Ebbsfleet United 3-1 Braintree | FA Trophy |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Ebbsfleet United 0-1 Braintree | National League |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Braintree 0-0 Ebbsfleet United | National League |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Braintree 3-2 Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
| Sep 13, 2022 | Ebbsfleet United 4-0 Braintree | National League - South |
| Mar 15, 2022 | Braintree 1-0 Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Ebbsfleet United vs Braintree on Dec 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Braintree score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ebbsfleet United score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braintree | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Ebbsfleet United | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Braintree | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Braintree vs Ebbsfleet United?
- The Footlab model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Braintree.
- Where and when is Braintree vs Ebbsfleet United played?
- Braintree vs Ebbsfleet United is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Cressing Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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