Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dover: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 45Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Focus Community Arena, Hemel Hempstead, Hertfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hemel Hempstead Town wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,514 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dover?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Hemel Hempstead Town (1,868) and Dover (1,834).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dover
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hemel Hempstead Town
4-3-3- 16I. Noel-Williams
- 10Joseph White
- 23Trae Cook
- 7G. Williams
- 12Kyran Wiltshire
- 20Mauro Vilhete
- 3D. Dowrich
- 2Samuel Adenola
- 22Devante Stanley
- 15Mathew Achuba
- 1M. Johnson
Dover
Not enough data to predict the Dover lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 06:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hemel Hempstead Town have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Dover have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Slough Town(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 4-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hemel Hempstead Town win, 3 draws, 2 Dover wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town 1-2 Dover | National League - South |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Dover 1-2 Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 Dover | National League - South |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Dover 2-2 Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Hemel Hempstead Town 0-0 Dover | National League - South |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Dover 4-0 Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dover on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hemel Hempstead Town score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Dover score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hemel Hempstead Town | 0.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
| Dover | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hemel Hempstead Town sit 14th in National League - South (14 points from 11 matches) and Dover sit 8th (18 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Dover | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 18 |
| 14 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 14 |
A question about Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dover?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dover?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Dover.
- Where and when is Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dover played?
- Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dover is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Focus Community Arena, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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- Apr 17, 2027Weston-super-MarevsHorsham
- Apr 17, 2027Truro CityvsFarnborough
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