Where and when is Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dover played?

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dover is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Focus Community Arena, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dover: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 45Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Focus Community Arena, Hemel Hempstead, Hertfordshire

Hemel Hempstead Town

Dover

The Footlab model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dover?

Hemel Hempstead Town starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,727).

Hemel Hempstead Town win50 %

Draw26 %

Dover win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hemel Hempstead Town have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Dover have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hemel Hempstead Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Salisbury(away)	2-1	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Maidenhead(home)	0-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Farnborough(away)	2-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Chelmsford City(home)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	St Albans City(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

Dover
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Weston-super-Mare(away)	3-2	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Tonbridge Angels(home)	0-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Slough Town(home)	5-3	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Billericay Town(away)	0-2	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	Carshalton Athletic(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hemel Hempstead Town win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Dover win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 31, 2026	Hemel Hempstead Town 1-2 Dover	National League - South
Jan 10, 2026	Dover 1-2 Hemel Hempstead Town	National League - South
Apr 6, 2024	Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 Dover	National League - South
Oct 21, 2023	Dover 2-2 Hemel Hempstead Town	National League - South
Jan 28, 2023	Hemel Hempstead Town 0-0 Dover	National League - South
Aug 27, 2022	Dover 4-0 Hemel Hempstead Town	National League - South

Last archived meeting: Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dover on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hemel Hempstead Town score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hemel Hempstead Town	1.1	0.9	4	8/15	6/15
Dover	1.2	1.8	2	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hemel Hempstead Town sit 6th in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Dover sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Hemel Hempstead Town	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
10	Dover	4	2	0	2	8	8	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dover?: The Footlab model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Dover.
Where and when is Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dover played?: Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dover is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Focus Community Arena, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.