Naft Maysan vs Gharraf: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Maysan International Stadium, Al Amarah
The Footlab AI model makes Naft Maysan the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Gharraf. The most likely score is 1-1. If Naft Maysan wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naft Maysan vs Gharraf?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Naft Maysan (1,502) and Gharraf (1,442).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Naft Maysan vs Gharraf
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Naft Maysan
Not enough data to predict the Naft Maysan lineup.
Gharraf
Not enough data to predict the Gharraf lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naft Maysan have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Gharraf have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Erbil(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Al Karkh(away) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Talaba(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Newroz(home) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Al-Jolan SC(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Diyala(away) | 1-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Al Shorta(home) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Naft Maysan win, 0 draws, 1 Gharraf win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 2026 | Gharraf 0-2 Naft Maysan | Iraqi League |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Naft Maysan 0-1 Gharraf | Iraqi League |
Last archived meeting: Gharraf vs Naft Maysan on Jun 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Naft Maysan score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Gharraf score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naft Maysan | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Gharraf | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naft Maysan sit 16th in Iraqi League (8 points from 9 matches) and Gharraf sit 19th (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Naft Maysan | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 8 |
| 19 | Gharraf | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 6 |
A question about Naft Maysan vs Gharraf?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naft Maysan vs Gharraf?
- The Footlab AI model makes Naft Maysan the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Gharraf.
- Where and when is Naft Maysan vs Gharraf played?
- Naft Maysan vs Gharraf is played on December 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Maysan International Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.