Dunfermline vs Livingston: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)KDM Group East End Park, Dunfermline
The Footlab AI model makes Livingston the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Dunfermline. The most likely score is 1-1. If Livingston wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dunfermline vs Livingston?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Dunfermline (1,793) and Livingston (1,804).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dunfermline vs Livingston
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dunfermline
3-4-3- 26A. Tod
- 99O. Adams
- 33J. Cooper
- 47R. Fraser
- 14A. Amade
- 24D. Lobban
- 19Allan Oyirwoth
- 6N. Abdulai
- 15S. Harding
- 25A. Donnelly
- 1A. Oxborough
Livingston
4-3-3- 9R. Muirhead
- 19B. van Hoeven
- 7T. Sinclair
- 20E. Danso
- 16C. Palmer
- 8S. Pittman
- 23Brooklyn Kabongolo
- 22J. Doherty
- 5R. McGowan
- 26C. Montaño
- 28J. Prior
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dunfermline have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Livingston have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aberdeen(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Morton(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Queen's Park(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Arbroath(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Raith Rovers(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ayr Utd(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Raith Rovers(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Inverness CT(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Morton(away) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dunfermline wins, 1 draw, 3 Livingston wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Livingston 2-0 Dunfermline | Championship |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Dunfermline 1-0 Livingston | Championship |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Livingston 0-0 Dunfermline | Championship |
| Feb 5, 2025 | Dunfermline 0-2 Livingston | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Dunfermline 3-0 Livingston | Championship |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Livingston 2-0 Dunfermline | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Livingston vs Dunfermline on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dunfermline score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Livingston score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunfermline | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Livingston | 1.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dunfermline sit 5th in Championship (12 points from 7 matches) and Livingston sit 4th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Livingston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 13 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 |
A question about Dunfermline vs Livingston?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dunfermline vs Livingston?
- The Footlab AI model makes Livingston the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Dunfermline.
- Where and when is Dunfermline vs Livingston played?
- Dunfermline vs Livingston is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at KDM Group East End Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.