Morton vs Queen's Park: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Cappielow Park, Greenock
The Footlab AI model makes Queen's Park the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Morton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Queen's Park wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Morton vs Queen's Park?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Morton (1,562) and Queen's Park (1,651).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Morton vs Queen's Park
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Morton
4-2-3-1- 7M. Garrity
- 21G. Gillespie
- 20C. Sandilands
- 27I. Wilson
- 19Kerr Robertson
- 17Sahil Bashir
- 2C. Ballantyne
- 4Christopher Cupps
- 6C. Okike
- 3J. Longridge
- 1Elyh Harrison
Queen's Park
4-2-3-1- 9M. Ruth
- 11A. Connolly
- 14L. Stewart
- 21R. McLean
- 8S. Martin
- 26Ben Brannan
- 5R. Lamie
- 12C. Pignatiello
- 22M. Shiels
- 4E. Murray
- 1D. Mitchell
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Morton have 1 win, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Queen's Park have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Arbroath(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Raith Rovers(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Inverness CT(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dunfermline(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Livingston(home) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Inverness CT(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Raith Rovers(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Arbroath(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ayr Utd(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Dunfermline(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Morton wins, 2 draws, 2 Queen's Park wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Queen's Park 2-1 Morton | Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Morton 0-0 Queen's Park | Championship |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Queen's Park 3-2 Morton | Championship |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Morton 2-1 Queen's Park | Championship |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Queen's Park 0-0 Morton | Championship |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Morton 2-1 Queen's Park | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Queen's Park vs Morton on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Morton score 0.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Queen's Park score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morton | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Queen's Park | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Morton sit 10th in Championship (4 points from 10 matches) and Queen's Park sit 9th (7 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Queen's Park | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 7 |
| 10 | Morton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 4 |
A question about Morton vs Queen's Park?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Morton vs Queen's Park?
- The Footlab AI model makes Queen's Park the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Morton.
- Where and when is Morton vs Queen's Park played?
- Morton vs Queen's Park is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Cappielow Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.