DVS 33 Ermelo vs Hercules: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Zuid DVS '33, Ermelo
The Footlab AI model makes DVS 33 Ermelo the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Hercules. The most likely score is 1-1. If DVS 33 Ermelo wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win DVS 33 Ermelo vs Hercules?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate DVS 33 Ermelo (1,771) and Hercules (1,712).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for DVS 33 Ermelo vs Hercules
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
DVS 33 Ermelo
3-4-3- 10Stef Nijland
- 7J. van Essen
- 11B. Roemeon
- 6R. Dekker
- 22M. Ahrens
- 3Tim Van de Berg
- 8Maarten van Dijk
- 5R. Baas
- 17Willard Timmerman
- 15T. van Diermen
- 32Largo Karrenbelt
Hercules
Not enough data to predict the Hercules lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, DVS 33 Ermelo have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Hercules have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eemdijk(home) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hercules(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sportlust '46(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | GVVV Veenendaal(away) | 0-4 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hollandia(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sportlust '46(home) | 0-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Hollandia(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | TEC(home) | 2-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 DVS 33 Ermelo wins, 1 draw, 2 Hercules wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hercules 1-0 DVS 33 Ermelo | Derde Divisie |
| Feb 21, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo 3-2 Hercules | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Hercules 0-2 DVS 33 Ermelo | Derde Divisie |
| May 24, 2025 | DVS 33 Ermelo 4-3 Hercules | Derde Divisie |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Hercules 4-4 DVS 33 Ermelo | Derde Divisie |
| Feb 3, 2024 | DVS 33 Ermelo 0-2 Hercules | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Hercules vs DVS 33 Ermelo on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
DVS 33 Ermelo score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hercules score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DVS 33 Ermelo | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Hercules | 1.4 | 1.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
DVS 33 Ermelo sit 13th in Derde Divisie (6 points from 9 matches) and Hercules sit 12th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hercules | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 10 |
| 13 | DVS 33 Ermelo | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 6 |
A question about DVS 33 Ermelo vs Hercules?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for DVS 33 Ermelo vs Hercules?
- The Footlab AI model makes DVS 33 Ermelo the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Hercules.
- Where and when is DVS 33 Ermelo vs Hercules played?
- DVS 33 Ermelo vs Hercules is played on March 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Zuid DVS '33, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.