Match

Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden

Dynamo DresdenVfL Bochum

The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for VfL Bochum. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum?

A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Dynamo Dresden (1,991) and VfL Bochum (1,962).

Dynamo Dresden win55 %
Draw24 %
VfL Bochum win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dynamo Dresden have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; VfL Bochum have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dynamo Dresden
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(home)1-02. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 20261. FC Nürnberg(away)0-32. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Union Berlin(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Energie Cottbus(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Grazer AK(away)5-0Friendlies Clubs
VfL Bochum
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(away)1-02. Bundesliga
Aug 7, 2026Hertha BSC(home)0-12. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Sheffield Utd(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Werder Bremen(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026Swansea(away)2-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dynamo Dresden win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 VfL Bochum win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Dynamo Dresden 2-0 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga
Nov 21, 2025VfL Bochum 1-2 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
Feb 22, 2020Dynamo Dresden 1-2 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga
Sep 15, 2019VfL Bochum 2-2 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
Mar 3, 2019Dynamo Dresden 2-2 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga
Sep 25, 2018VfL Bochum 0-1 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Dynamo Dresden score 2.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Bochum score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Dynamo Dresden2.50.976/1510/15
VfL Bochum1.21.438/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dynamo Dresden sit 11th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and VfL Bochum sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7VfL Bochum2101113
11Dynamo Dresden2101133

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum?
The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for VfL Bochum.
Where and when is Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum played?
Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Dynamo Dresden and VfL Bochum

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