Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden
The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for VfL Bochum. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Dynamo Dresden (1,991) and VfL Bochum (1,962).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dynamo Dresden have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; VfL Bochum have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(away) | 0-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Union Berlin(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Grazer AK(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig(away) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hertha BSC(home) | 0-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Werder Bremen(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dynamo Dresden win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 VfL Bochum win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden 2-0 VfL Bochum | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 21, 2025 | VfL Bochum 1-2 Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Dynamo Dresden 1-2 VfL Bochum | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 15, 2019 | VfL Bochum 2-2 Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
| Mar 3, 2019 | Dynamo Dresden 2-2 VfL Bochum | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 25, 2018 | VfL Bochum 0-1 Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dynamo Dresden score 2.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Bochum score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Dresden | 2.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| VfL Bochum | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dynamo Dresden sit 11th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and VfL Bochum sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | VfL Bochum | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum?
- The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for VfL Bochum.
- Where and when is Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum played?
- Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Hertha BSCvs1. FC Magdeburg
- Sep 5, 2026VfL WolfsburgvsEnergie Cottbus
- Sep 5, 2026Hannover 96vsKarlsruher SC
- Sep 5, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürthvs1. FC Heidenheim
- Sep 5, 2026Arminia BielefeldvsFC St. Pauli
- Sep 5, 2026Holstein Kielvs1. FC Nürnberg
- Sep 5, 20261. FC KaiserslauternvsSV Darmstadt 98
- Sep 5, 2026VfL OsnabrückvsEintracht Braunschweig