Where and when is VfL Wolfsburg vs Energie Cottbus played?

VfL Wolfsburg vs Energie Cottbus is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Volkswagen Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

VfL Wolfsburg vs Energie Cottbus: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg

Energie Cottbus

The Footlab model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Energie Cottbus. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs Energie Cottbus?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate VfL Wolfsburg (2,019) and Energie Cottbus (1,982).

VfL Wolfsburg win47 %

Draw25 %

Energie Cottbus win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Wolfsburg have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Energie Cottbus have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfL Wolfsburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Hannover 96(away)	1-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	1. FC Kaiserslautern(home)	0-0	2. Bundesliga
Jul 31, 2026	Telstar(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Lyon(home)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Verl(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

Energie Cottbus
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Arminia Bielefeld(away)	0-3	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	Hannover 96(home)	3-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Werder Bremen(home)	2-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Dynamo Dresden(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 15, 2026	Mlada Boleslav(home)	2-4	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

VfL Wolfsburg score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Energie Cottbus score 2.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
VfL Wolfsburg	1.7	1.3	5	8/15	8/15
Energie Cottbus	2.0	1.5	4	9/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfL Wolfsburg sit 4th in 2. Bundesliga (4 points from 2 matches) and Energie Cottbus sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	VfL Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	1	0	4
8	Energie Cottbus	2	1	0	1	3	4	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfL Wolfsburg vs Energie Cottbus?: The Footlab model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Energie Cottbus.
Where and when is VfL Wolfsburg vs Energie Cottbus played?: VfL Wolfsburg vs Energie Cottbus is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Volkswagen Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.