Match

Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Magdeburg: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Olympiastadion Berlin, Berlin

Hertha BSC1. FC Magdeburg

The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for 1. FC Magdeburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Hertha BSC (2,031) and 1. FC Magdeburg (1,959).

Hertha BSC win50 %
Draw23 %
1. FC Magdeburg win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hertha BSC have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; 1. FC Magdeburg have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hertha BSC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 20261. FC Heidenheim(home)4-12. Bundesliga
Aug 7, 2026VfL Bochum(away)1-02. Bundesliga
Jul 31, 20261. FC Köln(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026Mamelodi Sundowns(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 17, 2026WSG Wattens(away)2-3Friendlies Clubs
1. FC Magdeburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026VfL Osnabrück(away)3-02. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(home)1-62. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026West Ham(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Schöningen(away)4-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 12, 2026BSG Chemie Leipzig(away)4-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hertha BSC win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 1. FC Magdeburg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 20261. FC Magdeburg 1-0 Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga
Dec 7, 2025Hertha BSC 0-2 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
Apr 25, 2025Hertha BSC 1-1 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
Nov 29, 20241. FC Magdeburg 1-3 Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga
Feb 16, 2024Hertha BSC 3-2 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
Sep 2, 20231. FC Magdeburg 6-4 Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hertha BSC on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hertha BSC score 2.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Magdeburg score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hertha BSC2.81.348/158/15
1. FC Magdeburg2.01.348/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hertha BSC sit 2nd in 2. Bundesliga (6 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Magdeburg sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Hertha BSC2200516
101. FC Magdeburg2101463

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for 1. FC Magdeburg.
Where and when is Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Magdeburg played?
Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Magdeburg is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Olympiastadion Berlin, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hertha BSC and 1. FC Magdeburg

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