Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Magdeburg: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Olympiastadion Berlin, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for 1. FC Magdeburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Hertha BSC (2,031) and 1. FC Magdeburg (1,959).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hertha BSC have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; 1. FC Magdeburg have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(home) | 4-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | VfL Bochum(away) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 1. FC Köln(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | WSG Wattens(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(away) | 3-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig(home) | 1-6 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Schöningen(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 12, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hertha BSC win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 1. FC Magdeburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | 1. FC Magdeburg 1-0 Hertha BSC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Hertha BSC 0-2 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Hertha BSC 1-1 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1. FC Magdeburg 1-3 Hertha BSC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Hertha BSC 3-2 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 2, 2023 | 1. FC Magdeburg 6-4 Hertha BSC | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hertha BSC on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hertha BSC score 2.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Magdeburg score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hertha BSC | 2.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hertha BSC sit 2nd in 2. Bundesliga (6 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Magdeburg sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hertha BSC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
- The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for 1. FC Magdeburg.
- Where and when is Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Magdeburg played?
- Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Magdeburg is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Olympiastadion Berlin, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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