Eastbourne Borough vs Dartford: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)ReachTV Stadium, Eastbourne, East Sussex
The Footlab model makes Dartford the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Eastbourne Borough. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eastbourne Borough vs Dartford?
Dartford starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,877 vs 1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eastbourne Borough have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Dartford have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Three Bridges(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aveley(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Welling United(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ashford United(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Eastbourne Borough win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Dartford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2025 | Dartford 1-0 Eastbourne Borough | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Dartford 0-2 Eastbourne Borough | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2023 | Eastbourne Borough 1-1 Dartford | National League - South |
| Apr 7, 2023 | Eastbourne Borough 2-1 Dartford | National League - South |
| Sep 27, 2022 | Dartford 2-1 Eastbourne Borough | National League - South |
| May 7, 2022 | Eastbourne Borough 2-7 Dartford | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Dartford vs Eastbourne Borough on Jul 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Eastbourne Borough score 1.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dartford score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastbourne Borough | 1.6 | 2.3 | 0 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Dartford | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eastbourne Borough sit 7th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and Dartford sit 5th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dartford | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 | Eastbourne Borough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eastbourne Borough vs Dartford?
- The Footlab model makes Dartford the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Eastbourne Borough.
- Where and when is Eastbourne Borough vs Dartford played?
- Eastbourne Borough vs Dartford is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at ReachTV Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 16, 2027LeatherheadvsCray Wanderers
- Jan 16, 2027WhitehawkvsStanway Rovers
- Jan 16, 2027AveleyvsRamsgate
- Jan 16, 2027Brentwood TownvsThree Bridges
- Jan 16, 2027Burgess Hill TownvsChatham Town
- Jan 16, 2027WhyteleafevsEnfield Town
- Jan 16, 2027Maldon & TiptreevsWingate & Finchley
- Jan 16, 2027CheshuntvsCarshalton Athletic