Match

Maldon & Tiptree vs Wingate & Finchley: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Drewitt-Barlow Stadium, Maldon, Essex

Maldon & TiptreeWingate & Finchley

The Footlab model makes Maldon & Tiptree the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Wingate & Finchley. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maldon & Tiptree vs Wingate & Finchley?

Maldon & Tiptree starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,901 vs 1,757).

Maldon & Tiptree win57 %
Draw22 %
Wingate & Finchley win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maldon & Tiptree have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Wingate & Finchley have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maldon & Tiptree
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Leatherhead(away)4-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Dartford(home)1-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Aveley(home)1-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Dulwich Hamlet(away)0-6Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026Walthamstow(away)2-3Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Wingate & Finchley
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dulwich Hamlet(home)1-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Whyteleafe(away)2-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 10, 2026Carshalton Athletic(away)0-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Cray Wanderers(home)1-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026Aveley(home)0-2Non League Premier - Isthmian

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Maldon & Tiptree win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Wingate & Finchley win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 21, 2019Maldon & Tiptree 4-2 Wingate & FinchleyFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Maldon & Tiptree vs Wingate & Finchley on Sep 21, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

Maldon & Tiptree score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Wingate & Finchley score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Maldon & Tiptree1.91.368/1510/15
Wingate & Finchley1.11.539/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Maldon & Tiptree sit 12th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (6 points from 4 matches) and Wingate & Finchley sit 16th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Maldon & Tiptree4202696
16Wingate & Finchley4121455

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maldon & Tiptree vs Wingate & Finchley?
The Footlab model makes Maldon & Tiptree the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Wingate & Finchley.
Where and when is Maldon & Tiptree vs Wingate & Finchley played?
Maldon & Tiptree vs Wingate & Finchley is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Drewitt-Barlow Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Maldon & Tiptree and Wingate & Finchley

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