Aveley vs Ramsgate: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Parkside Stadium, Aveley, Essex
The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Ramsgate. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aveley vs Ramsgate?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Aveley (1,878) and Ramsgate (1,823).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aveley have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Ramsgate have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 5-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southend(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | St Albans City(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Enfield Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leatherhead(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Canvey Island(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Aveley win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ramsgate win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Ramsgate 1-1 Aveley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Aveley 5-0 Ramsgate | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
How many goals should we expect?
Aveley score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ramsgate score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aveley | 2.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Ramsgate | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aveley sit 6th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and Ramsgate sit 11th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aveley | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | Ramsgate | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aveley vs Ramsgate?
- The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Ramsgate.
- Where and when is Aveley vs Ramsgate played?
- Aveley vs Ramsgate is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Parkside Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 16, 2027LeatherheadvsCray Wanderers
- Jan 16, 2027Eastbourne BoroughvsDartford
- Jan 16, 2027WhitehawkvsStanway Rovers
- Jan 16, 2027Brentwood TownvsThree Bridges
- Jan 16, 2027Burgess Hill TownvsChatham Town
- Jan 16, 2027WhyteleafevsEnfield Town
- Jan 16, 2027Maldon & TiptreevsWingate & Finchley
- Jan 16, 2027CheshuntvsCarshalton Athletic