Match

Aveley vs Ramsgate: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Parkside Stadium, Aveley, Essex

AveleyRamsgate

The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Ramsgate. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aveley vs Ramsgate?

A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Aveley (1,878) and Ramsgate (1,823).

Aveley win46 %
Draw22 %
Ramsgate win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aveley have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Ramsgate have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aveley
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Three Bridges(away)5-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Whitehawk(home)3-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Maldon & Tiptree(away)0-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Eastbourne Borough(home)2-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026Southend(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Ramsgate
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026St Albans City(home)4-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Enfield Town(away)2-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Stanway Rovers(away)3-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Leatherhead(home)1-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026Canvey Island(away)4-2Non League Premier - Isthmian

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Aveley win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ramsgate win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026Ramsgate 1-1 AveleyNon League Premier - Isthmian
Nov 1, 2025Aveley 5-0 RamsgateNon League Premier - Isthmian

Last archived meeting: Ramsgate vs Aveley on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Aveley score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ramsgate score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Aveley2.41.7310/1511/15
Ramsgate1.61.628/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Aveley sit 6th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and Ramsgate sit 11th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Aveley42111067
11Ramsgate42021066

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aveley vs Ramsgate?
The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Ramsgate.
Where and when is Aveley vs Ramsgate played?
Aveley vs Ramsgate is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Parkside Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Aveley and Ramsgate

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