Burgess Hill Town vs Chatham Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Home Call Carpets Community Stadium, Burgess Hill, West Sussex
The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Burgess Hill Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burgess Hill Town vs Chatham Town?
Chatham Town starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,940 vs 1,828).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burgess Hill Town have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Chatham Town have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leatherhead(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brentwood Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dover(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Three Bridges(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Burgess Hill Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Chatham Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town 0-3 Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Chatham Town 4-0 Burgess Hill Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Burgess Hill Town 0-1 Chatham Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Chatham Town 2-1 Burgess Hill Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
Last archived meeting: Burgess Hill Town vs Chatham Town on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Burgess Hill Town score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chatham Town score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burgess Hill Town | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Chatham Town | 2.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burgess Hill Town sit 14th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (5 points from 4 matches) and Chatham Town sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chatham Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 14 | Burgess Hill Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burgess Hill Town vs Chatham Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Burgess Hill Town.
- Where and when is Burgess Hill Town vs Chatham Town played?
- Burgess Hill Town vs Chatham Town is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Home Call Carpets Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 16, 2027LeatherheadvsCray Wanderers
- Jan 16, 2027Eastbourne BoroughvsDartford
- Jan 16, 2027WhitehawkvsStanway Rovers
- Jan 16, 2027AveleyvsRamsgate
- Jan 16, 2027Brentwood TownvsThree Bridges
- Jan 16, 2027WhyteleafevsEnfield Town
- Jan 16, 2027Maldon & TiptreevsWingate & Finchley
- Jan 16, 2027CheshuntvsCarshalton Athletic