Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United: prediction and stats
FA TrophyRound of 128Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Memorial Ground Farnham, Farnham, Surrey
The Footlab AI model makes Farnham Town the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Ebbsfleet United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Farnham Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,854 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Farnham Town (1,894) and Ebbsfleet United (1,878).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Farnham Town
Not enough data to predict the Farnham Town lineup.
Ebbsfleet United
4-3-3- 9A. Cosgrave
- 14D. Samuel
- 17L. Peake
- 22B. Chapman
- 4J. Hessenthaler
- 20M. Manktelow
- 24M. Olagunju
- 12Ronny Nelson
- 7J. Passley
- 6T. Dallison-Lisbon
- 13G. Bellagambi
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 10:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farnham Town have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(home) | 3-1 | National League - South |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Chelmsford City(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Dover(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Chesham United(away) | 4-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Braintree(home) | 6-0 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 6-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Truro City(away) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(away) | 3-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 4-0 | National League - South |
How many goals should we expect?
Farnham Town score 2.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ebbsfleet United score 2.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farnham Town | 2.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Ebbsfleet United | 2.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Farnham Town the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Ebbsfleet United.
- Where and when is Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United played?
- Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Memorial Ground Farnham, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026Maidstone UtdvsMaidenhead
- Nov 14, 2026DovervsBurgess Hill Town
- Nov 14, 2026BraintreevsKettering Town
- Nov 14, 2026Alfreton TownvsSouthport
- Nov 14, 2026Billericay TownvsWaltham Abbey
- Nov 14, 2026ChorleyvsBuxton
- Nov 14, 2026Weston-super-MarevsFarnborough
- Nov 14, 2026Dagenham & RedbridgevsDorking Wanderers