Egypt vs Swaziland: result 4-1 and analysis
Africa Cup of NationsGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on October 12, 2018 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Suez Canal Stadium, Ismailia
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What was the result of Egypt vs Swaziland?
Egypt won 4-1 on October 12, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Egypt have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Swaziland have 3, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2018 | Niger(home) | 6-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jun 25, 2018 | Saudi Arabia(away) | 1-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 19, 2018 | Russia(away) | 1-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 15, 2018 | Uruguay(home) | 0-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 6, 2018 | Belgium(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2018 | Tunisia(home) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| May 25, 2018 | Kenya(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 27, 2018 | Seychelles(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jul 21, 2017 | Zambia(away) | 0-3 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 15, 2017 | Zambia(home) | 0-4 | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Egypt score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Swaziland score 0.8 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egypt | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Swaziland | 0.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 1/12 | 4/12 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egypt | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy