Ehime FC vs FC Ryukyu: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ningineer Stadium, Matsuyama
The Footlab model makes Ehime FC the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for FC Ryukyu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ehime FC vs FC Ryukyu?
Ehime FC starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,711 vs 1,601).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ehime FC have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; FC Ryukyu have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pacific University(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(home) | 4-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nara Club(home) | 4-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Fujieda MYFC(away) | 0-1 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Osaka(away) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Urawa(home) | 5-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Fukushima United(away) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
| May 31, 2026 | Imabari(away) | 2-1 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ehime FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 FC Ryukyu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2023 | FC Ryukyu 2-3 Ehime FC | J3 League |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Ehime FC 2-1 FC Ryukyu | J3 League |
| Oct 16, 2021 | FC Ryukyu 0-1 Ehime FC | J2 League |
| May 8, 2021 | Ehime FC 1-1 FC Ryukyu | J2 League |
| Dec 13, 2020 | FC Ryukyu 6-0 Ehime FC | J2 League |
| Jul 25, 2020 | Ehime FC 1-1 FC Ryukyu | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: FC Ryukyu vs Ehime FC on Sep 17, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Ehime FC score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Ryukyu score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ehime FC | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| FC Ryukyu | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ehime FC sit 2nd in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and FC Ryukyu sit 18th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ehime FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| 18 | FC Ryukyu | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ehime FC vs FC Ryukyu?
- The Footlab model makes Ehime FC the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for FC Ryukyu.
- Where and when is Ehime FC vs FC Ryukyu played?
- Ehime FC vs FC Ryukyu is played on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ningineer Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026FC GifuvsBiwako Shiga
- Dec 5, 2026Matsumoto YamagavsKochi United
- Dec 5, 2026Renofa YamaguchivsRoasso Kumamoto
- Dec 5, 2026Kamatamare SanukivsFukushima United
- Dec 5, 2026KitakyushuvsTochigi SC
- Dec 5, 2026Gainare TottorivsKagoshima United
- Dec 5, 2026Parceiro NaganovsKanazawa
- Dec 5, 2026SagamiharavsThespakusatsu Gunma