FC Ryukyu vs Ehime FC: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Tapic Kenso Hiyagon Stadium, Okinawa
The Footlab model makes Ehime FC the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for FC Ryukyu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Ryukyu vs Ehime FC?
Ehime FC starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,709 vs 1,599).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Ryukyu have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Ehime FC have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Osaka(away) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Urawa(home) | 5-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Fukushima United(away) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
| May 31, 2026 | Imabari(away) | 2-1 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pacific University(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(home) | 4-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nara Club(home) | 4-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Fujieda MYFC(away) | 0-1 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Ryukyu win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Ehime FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2023 | FC Ryukyu 2-3 Ehime FC | J3 League |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Ehime FC 2-1 FC Ryukyu | J3 League |
| Oct 16, 2021 | FC Ryukyu 0-1 Ehime FC | J2 League |
| May 8, 2021 | Ehime FC 1-1 FC Ryukyu | J2 League |
| Dec 13, 2020 | FC Ryukyu 6-0 Ehime FC | J2 League |
| Jul 25, 2020 | Ehime FC 1-1 FC Ryukyu | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: FC Ryukyu vs Ehime FC on Sep 17, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
FC Ryukyu score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ehime FC score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Ryukyu | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Ehime FC | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Ryukyu sit 18th in J3 League (1 points from 2 matches) and Ehime FC sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ehime FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| 18 | FC Ryukyu | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Ryukyu vs Ehime FC?
- The Footlab model makes Ehime FC the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for FC Ryukyu.
- Where and when is FC Ryukyu vs Ehime FC played?
- FC Ryukyu vs Ehime FC is played on September 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Tapic Kenso Hiyagon Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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