Where and when is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Roasso Kumamoto played?

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Roasso Kumamoto is played on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Roasso Kumamoto: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ishin Me-Life Stadium, Yamaguchi

Renofa Yamaguchi

Roasso Kumamoto

The Footlab model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Roasso Kumamoto. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Renofa Yamaguchi vs Roasso Kumamoto?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Renofa Yamaguchi (1,717) and Roasso Kumamoto (1,700).

Renofa Yamaguchi win46 %

Draw30 %

Roasso Kumamoto win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Renofa Yamaguchi have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Roasso Kumamoto have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Renofa Yamaguchi
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Nara Club(away)	1-3	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Kagoshima United(away)	1-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	FC Ryukyu(home)	1-0	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Parceiro Nagano(away)	0-1	J3 League
Jun 6, 2026	Yokohama FC(away)	1-2	J2/J3 League

Roasso Kumamoto
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Parceiro Nagano(home)	0-1	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Gainare Tottori(away)	2-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Tochigi SC(home)	0-0	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Sagamihara(away)	0-0	J3 League
Jul 19, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Renofa Yamaguchi win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Roasso Kumamoto win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Renofa Yamaguchi 1-1 Roasso Kumamoto	J2/J3 League
Feb 8, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto 2-1 Renofa Yamaguchi	J2/J3 League
Nov 2, 2025	Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 Renofa Yamaguchi	J2 League
Mar 23, 2025	Renofa Yamaguchi 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto	J2 League
Oct 20, 2024	Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 Renofa Yamaguchi	J2 League
Apr 3, 2024	Renofa Yamaguchi 1-2 Roasso Kumamoto	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Renofa Yamaguchi vs Roasso Kumamoto on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Roasso Kumamoto score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Renofa Yamaguchi	1.5	1.5	2	11/15	9/15
Roasso Kumamoto	0.9	1.1	6	5/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Renofa Yamaguchi sit 13th in J3 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Roasso Kumamoto sit 17th (2 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Renofa Yamaguchi	3	1	0	2	2	4	3
17	Roasso Kumamoto	3	0	2	1	0	1	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Roasso Kumamoto?: The Footlab model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Roasso Kumamoto.
Where and when is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Roasso Kumamoto played?: Renofa Yamaguchi vs Roasso Kumamoto is played on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.