Match

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Roasso Kumamoto: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ishin Me-Life Stadium, Yamaguchi

Renofa YamaguchiRoasso Kumamoto

The Footlab AI model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Roasso Kumamoto. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,234 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Renofa Yamaguchi vs Roasso Kumamoto?

On Elo ratings, Renofa Yamaguchi has 1,810 points and Roasso Kumamoto 1,778.

55%26%19%
Renofa Yamaguchi winDrawRoasso Kumamoto win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Roasso Kumamoto

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Renofa Yamaguchi

4-3-3
  1. 13Sota Watanabe
  2. 19S. Yamamoto
  3. 11K. Fujioka
  1. 4K. Nakashima
  2. 40H. Naruoka
  3. 17K. Tanabe
  1. 5K. Yoshioka
  2. 33S. Kikuchi
  3. 2R. Ozawa
  4. 15T. Itakura
  1. 35K. Uchiyama

Roasso Kumamoto

4-3-3
  1. 9Bae Jeong-Min
  2. 22E. Matsuda
  3. 11R. Watanabe
  1. 4Rei Yakushida
  2. 25K. Nasu
  3. 7K. Fujii
  1. 24Ri Thae-Ha
  2. 26Shumpei Toda
  3. 41Y. Omoto
  4. 2K. Kuroki
  1. 1S. Sato

Computed on November 10, 2026 at 01:23 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Renofa Yamaguchi have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Roasso Kumamoto have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Renofa Yamaguchi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(away)2-1J3 League
Nov 3, 2026Kagoshima United(home)1-1J3 League
Oct 31, 2026Kitakyushu(home)0-2J3 League
Oct 25, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(away)2-0J3 League
Oct 21, 2026Ehime FC(away)1-2J3 League
Roasso Kumamoto
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi(home)1-2J3 League
Nov 4, 2026Osaka(away)1-2J3 League
Oct 31, 2026Kagoshima United(away)1-1J3 League
Oct 25, 2026FC Gifu(home)2-1J3 League
Oct 21, 2026Gainare Tottori(home)3-0J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Renofa Yamaguchi wins, 2 draws, 2 Roasso Kumamoto wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Roasso Kumamoto 1-2 Renofa YamaguchiJ3 League
May 23, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi 1-1 Roasso KumamotoJ2/J3 League
Feb 8, 2026Roasso Kumamoto 2-1 Renofa YamaguchiJ2/J3 League
Nov 2, 2025Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 Renofa YamaguchiJ2 League
Mar 23, 2025Renofa Yamaguchi 0-1 Roasso KumamotoJ2 League
Oct 20, 2024Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 Renofa YamaguchiJ2 League

Last archived meeting: Roasso Kumamoto vs Renofa Yamaguchi on Nov 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Roasso Kumamoto score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Renofa Yamaguchi1.40.976/156/15
Roasso Kumamoto1.30.876/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Renofa Yamaguchi sit 5th in J3 League (30 points from 16 matches) and Roasso Kumamoto sit 8th (24 points from 16 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Renofa Yamaguchi16934221330
8Roasso Kumamoto16664181224

A question about Renofa Yamaguchi vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Roasso Kumamoto?
The Footlab AI model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Roasso Kumamoto.
Where and when is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Roasso Kumamoto played?
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Roasso Kumamoto is played on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Renofa Yamaguchi and Roasso Kumamoto

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