Where and when is Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kochi United played?

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kochi United is played on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sunpro Alwin Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kochi United: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sunpro Alwin Stadium, Matsumoto

Matsumoto Yamaga

Kochi United

The Footlab model makes Matsumoto Yamaga the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Kochi United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kochi United?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Matsumoto Yamaga (1,701) and Kochi United (1,636).

Matsumoto Yamaga win60 %

Draw23 %

Kochi United win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Matsumoto Yamaga have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Kochi United have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Matsumoto Yamaga
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Ehime FC(home)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 16, 2026	Biwako Shiga(home)	2-3	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Kochi United(away)	0-0	J3 League
Jul 25, 2026	Ventforet Kofu(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Nara Club(home)	0-2	J2/J3 League

Kochi United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Kamatamare Sanuki(home)	2-1	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Verspah Oita(away)	0-3	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	FC Gifu(away)	0-7	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Matsumoto Yamaga(home)	0-0	J3 League
Jun 6, 2026	Omiya Ardija(away)	1-2	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Matsumoto Yamaga win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kochi United win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Kochi United 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga	J3 League
Nov 9, 2025	Kochi United 0-1 Matsumoto Yamaga	J3 League
Apr 5, 2025	Matsumoto Yamaga 0-5 Kochi United	J3 League

Last archived meeting: Kochi United vs Matsumoto Yamaga on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Matsumoto Yamaga score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Kochi United score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Matsumoto Yamaga	1.5	1.2	4	8/15	8/15
Kochi United	0.8	1.7	4	5/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Matsumoto Yamaga sit 16th in J3 League (2 points from 3 matches) and Kochi United sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Kochi United	3	1	1	1	2	8	4
16	Matsumoto Yamaga	3	0	2	1	4	5	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kochi United?: The Footlab model makes Matsumoto Yamaga the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Kochi United.
Where and when is Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kochi United played?: Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kochi United is played on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sunpro Alwin Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.