Ehime FC vs Fukushima United: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ningineer Stadium, Matsuyama
The Footlab model makes Ehime FC the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Fukushima United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ehime FC vs Fukushima United?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Ehime FC (1,711) and Fukushima United (1,673).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ehime FC have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Fukushima United have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(away) | 2-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pacific University(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(home) | 4-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nara Club(home) | 4-1 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Oyama(home) | 7-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kanazawa(away) | 3-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(home) | 1-2 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Ehime FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Fukushima United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023 | Fukushima United 4-1 Ehime FC | J3 League |
| May 27, 2023 | Ehime FC 0-1 Fukushima United | J3 League |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Fukushima United 0-3 Ehime FC | J3 League |
| Apr 29, 2022 | Ehime FC 0-0 Fukushima United | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Fukushima United vs Ehime FC on Nov 19, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Ehime FC score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Fukushima United score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ehime FC | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Fukushima United | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ehime FC sit 2nd in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Fukushima United sit 19th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ehime FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| 19 | Fukushima United | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ehime FC vs Fukushima United?
- The Footlab model makes Ehime FC the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Fukushima United.
- Where and when is Ehime FC vs Fukushima United played?
- Ehime FC vs Fukushima United is played on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ningineer Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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