Where and when is Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Kamatamare Sanuki played?

Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Kamatamare Sanuki is played on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Shoda Shoyu Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Kamatamare Sanuki: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Shoda Shoyu Stadium, Maebashi

Thespakusatsu Gunma

Kamatamare Sanuki

The Footlab model makes Thespakusatsu Gunma the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Kamatamare Sanuki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Kamatamare Sanuki?

A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Thespakusatsu Gunma (1,663) and Kamatamare Sanuki (1,592).

Thespakusatsu Gunma win50 %

Draw24 %

Kamatamare Sanuki win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thespakusatsu Gunma have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Kamatamare Sanuki have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Thespakusatsu Gunma
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(away)	1-4	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Biwako Shiga(home)	2-3	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Tohoku Gakuin University(away)	3-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Sagamihara(home)	1-4	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Kagoshima United(away)	0-1	J3 League

Kamatamare Sanuki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Kochi United(away)	1-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Veroskronos Tsuno(away)	1-3	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Kitakyushu(away)	0-0	J3 League
Aug 9, 2026	Fukushima United(away)	2-1	J3 League
Jun 5, 2026	Parceiro Nagano(home)	0-0	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Thespakusatsu Gunma win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Kamatamare Sanuki win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 31, 2025	Kamatamare Sanuki 3-2 Thespakusatsu Gunma	J3 League
Jun 15, 2025	Thespakusatsu Gunma 3-3 Kamatamare Sanuki	J3 League
Aug 10, 2019	Kamatamare Sanuki 0-1 Thespakusatsu Gunma	J3 League
Jun 23, 2019	Thespakusatsu Gunma 3-1 Kamatamare Sanuki	J3 League
Aug 11, 2017	Thespakusatsu Gunma 1-2 Kamatamare Sanuki	J2 League
May 21, 2017	Kamatamare Sanuki 1-2 Thespakusatsu Gunma	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Kamatamare Sanuki vs Thespakusatsu Gunma on Aug 31, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Thespakusatsu Gunma score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kamatamare Sanuki score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Thespakusatsu Gunma	1.7	1.9	2	11/15	11/15
Kamatamare Sanuki	0.9	1.7	2	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Thespakusatsu Gunma sit 20th in J3 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Kamatamare Sanuki sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Kamatamare Sanuki	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
20	Thespakusatsu Gunma	3	0	0	3	3	8	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Kamatamare Sanuki?: The Footlab model makes Thespakusatsu Gunma the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Kamatamare Sanuki.
Where and when is Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Kamatamare Sanuki played?: Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Kamatamare Sanuki is played on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Shoda Shoyu Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.