Fukushima United vs Gainare Tottori: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)TOHO Stadium, Fukushima
The Footlab model makes Fukushima United the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Gainare Tottori. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fukushima United vs Gainare Tottori?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Fukushima United (1,673) and Gainare Tottori (1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fukushima United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Gainare Tottori have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Oyama(home) | 7-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kanazawa(away) | 3-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(home) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(home) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 2-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ehime FC(away) | 0-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 1-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | FC Gifu(away) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fukushima United win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Gainare Tottori win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gainare Tottori 2-1 Fukushima United | J3 League |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Gainare Tottori 1-2 Fukushima United | J3 League |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Fukushima United 3-0 Gainare Tottori | J3 League |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Fukushima United 2-3 Gainare Tottori | J3 League |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Gainare Tottori 1-0 Fukushima United | J3 League |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Gainare Tottori 2-2 Fukushima United | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Gainare Tottori vs Fukushima United on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fukushima United score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Gainare Tottori score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fukushima United | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Gainare Tottori | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fukushima United sit 19th in J3 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Gainare Tottori sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Gainare Tottori | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 19 | Fukushima United | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fukushima United vs Gainare Tottori?
- The Footlab model makes Fukushima United the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Gainare Tottori.
- Where and when is Fukushima United vs Gainare Tottori played?
- Fukushima United vs Gainare Tottori is played on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at TOHO Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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