Match

Sagamihara vs Tochigi SC: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara

SagamiharaTochigi SC

The Footlab AI model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Tochigi SC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sagamihara wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,019 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sagamihara vs Tochigi SC?

A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Sagamihara (1,798) and Tochigi SC (1,719).

47%27%26%
Sagamihara winDrawTochigi SC win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sagamihara vs Tochigi SC

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sagamihara

4-3-3
  1. 9K. Sasaki
  2. 15T. Maeda
  3. 3K. Pytlik
  1. 10R. Nakayama
  2. 24R. Sugimoto
  3. 8Kosuke Kambe
  1. 4T. Shimakawa
  2. 13M. Tokida
  3. 2K. Watahiki
  4. 19S. Okita
  1. 21Kim Min-Ho

Tochigi SC

4-3-3
  1. 10T. Igarashi
  2. 20W. Suzuki
  3. 9Y. Kondo
  1. 13K. Osone
  2. 17K. Sugimori
  3. 7R. Osako
  1. 14S. Suzuki
  2. 37Yuto Kimura
  3. 88K. Uchida
  4. 3R. Higashi
  1. 41R. Tashiro

Computed on October 22, 2026 at 02:05 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sagamihara have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Tochigi SC have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sagamihara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 21, 2026FC Gifu(away)1-2J3 League
Oct 18, 2026Biwako Shiga(away)2-0J3 League
Oct 9, 2026Kamatamare Sanuki(home)3-2J3 League
Oct 3, 2026Osaka(home)1-0J3 League
Sep 26, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi(away)2-2J3 League
Tochigi SC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 21, 2026Biwako Shiga(home)1-0J3 League
Oct 17, 2026FC Ryukyu(away)0-1J3 League
Oct 11, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi(home)0-1J3 League
Oct 4, 2026Kamatamare Sanuki(away)0-0J3 League
Sep 26, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(home)1-2J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sagamihara wins, 2 draws, 0 Tochigi SC wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Tochigi SC 0-2 SagamiharaJ2/J3 League
Mar 8, 2026Sagamihara 4-0 Tochigi SCJ2/J3 League
Jul 20, 2025Tochigi SC 1-2 SagamiharaJ3 League
Feb 22, 2025Sagamihara 1-0 Tochigi SCJ3 League
Aug 9, 2021Sagamihara 0-0 Tochigi SCJ2 League
Apr 11, 2021Tochigi SC 0-0 SagamiharaJ2 League

Last archived meeting: Tochigi SC vs Sagamihara on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sagamihara score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tochigi SC score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sagamihara1.91.3410/1511/15
Tochigi SC1.01.357/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sagamihara sit 6th in J3 League (21 points from 12 matches) and Tochigi SC sit 15th (13 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Sagamihara12633211421
15Tochigi SC12345121613

A question about Sagamihara vs Tochigi SC?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sagamihara vs Tochigi SC?
The Footlab AI model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Tochigi SC.
Where and when is Sagamihara vs Tochigi SC played?
Sagamihara vs Tochigi SC is played on October 24, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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