Match

Osaka vs Kagoshima United: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Hanazono Rugby Stadium, Higashiosaka

OsakaKagoshima United

The Footlab AI model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Osaka. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kagoshima United wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Osaka vs Kagoshima United?

Kagoshima United starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,881 vs 1,772).

33%26%41%
Osaka winDrawKagoshima United win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Osaka vs Kagoshima United

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Osaka

4-4-2
  1. 95K. Isa
  2. 28T. Toya
  1. 14S. Sumida
  2. 11G. Yoshida
  3. 10R. Kubo
  4. 17S. Morimura
  1. 2K. Sakamoto
  2. 25Riku Kuwako
  3. 6S. Tachino
  4. 5Y. Minakuchi
  1. 1H. Sugawara

Kagoshima United

4-3-3
  1. 9R. Arita
  2. 18K. Kawamura
  3. 22Aura Takahashi
  1. 7W. Tanaka
  2. 14K. Yoshio
  3. 8K. Fujimura
  1. 36J. Ikeda
  2. 35G. Egawa
  3. 44Yoshitaka Aoki
  4. 2R. Saga
  1. 31D. Sakata

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 09:21 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osaka have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Kagoshima United have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Kitakyushu(away)1-3J3 League
Oct 9, 2026Kanazawa(home)1-1J3 League
Oct 3, 2026Sagamihara(away)0-1J3 League
Sep 29, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(home)1-2J-League Cup
Sep 26, 2026Kochi United(away)4-0J3 League
Kagoshima United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Ehime FC(home)4-2J3 League
Oct 11, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(away)0-1J3 League
Oct 7, 2026Cerezo Osaka(away)0-2Emperor Cup
Oct 4, 2026Fukushima United(home)3-2J3 League
Sep 26, 2026Kitakyushu(away)1-1J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Osaka win, 0 draws, 5 Kagoshima United wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 21, 2025Kagoshima United 2-1 OsakaJ3 League
May 31, 2025Osaka 3-0 Kagoshima UnitedJ3 League
Oct 5, 2023Osaka 2-3 Kagoshima UnitedJ3 League
Mar 4, 2023Kagoshima United 2-1 OsakaJ3 League
Sep 13, 2015Kagoshima United 2-0 OsakaJ3 League
Jun 7, 2015Osaka 0-1 Kagoshima UnitedJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Kagoshima United vs Osaka on Jul 21, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Osaka score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kagoshima United score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Osaka1.91.1410/1510/15
Kagoshima United1.91.139/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Osaka sit 7th in J3 League (17 points from 11 matches) and Kagoshima United sit 1st (26 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Kagoshima United11821231326
7Osaka11452191217

A question about Osaka vs Kagoshima United?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Osaka vs Kagoshima United?
The Footlab AI model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Osaka.
Where and when is Osaka vs Kagoshima United played?
Osaka vs Kagoshima United is played on October 24, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Hanazono Rugby Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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