Where and when is Osaka vs Kagoshima United played?

Osaka vs Kagoshima United is played on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Hanazono Rugby Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Osaka vs Kagoshima United: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Hanazono Rugby Stadium, Higashiosaka

Osaka

Kagoshima United

The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Osaka. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Osaka vs Kagoshima United?

A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Osaka (1,714) and Kagoshima United (1,812).

Osaka win27 %

Draw29 %

Kagoshima United win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osaka have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Kagoshima United have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	FC Ryukyu(home)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Nara Club(away)	4-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026	Parceiro Nagano(home)	4-2	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Gainare Tottori(away)	1-1	J3 League
Jul 19, 2026	Avispa Fukuoka(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs

Kagoshima United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	FC Gifu(home)	0-0	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Renofa Yamaguchi(home)	2-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026	Nara Club(away)	3-1	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Thespakusatsu Gunma(home)	1-0	J3 League
Jun 7, 2026	Blaublitz Akita(away)	2-0	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Osaka win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Kagoshima United win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 21, 2025	Kagoshima United 2-1 Osaka	J3 League
May 31, 2025	Osaka 3-0 Kagoshima United	J3 League
Oct 5, 2023	Osaka 2-3 Kagoshima United	J3 League
Mar 4, 2023	Kagoshima United 2-1 Osaka	J3 League
Sep 13, 2015	Kagoshima United 2-0 Osaka	J3 League
Jun 7, 2015	Osaka 0-1 Kagoshima United	J3 League

Last archived meeting: Kagoshima United vs Osaka on Jul 21, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Osaka score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Kagoshima United score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Osaka	1.5	1.4	1	11/15	8/15
Kagoshima United	1.5	0.8	4	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Osaka sit 7th in J3 League (5 points from 3 matches) and Kagoshima United sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Kagoshima United	3	2	1	0	4	1	7
7	Osaka	3	1	2	0	7	5	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Osaka vs Kagoshima United?: The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Osaka.
Where and when is Osaka vs Kagoshima United played?: Osaka vs Kagoshima United is played on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Hanazono Rugby Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.