Eibar vs AD Ceuta FC: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 31Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa, Eibar
The Footlab AI model makes Eibar the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for AD Ceuta FC. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,160 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eibar vs AD Ceuta FC?
Eibar starts as the favourite with a 176-point Elo edge (2,021 vs 1,845).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Eibar vs AD Ceuta FC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Eibar
4-2-3-1- 9Jon Bautista
- 8Ander Madariaga
- 30Aleix Garrido
- 7Malcom Adu
- 10Jon Guruzeta
- 21Iván Gil
- 23Anaitz Arbilla
- 24Juan Bernat
- 22Álvaro Rodríguez
- 5Peru Nolaskoain
- 13Jon Mikel
AD Ceuta FC
4-3-3- 8Kuki
- 11Cedric Teguia
- 9Jordi Escobar
- 10Marino Illescas
- 20Álex Meléndez
- 14Y. Bodiger
- 6Carlos Hernández
- 4Albert Caparrós
- 3José Matos
- 5Adrián Lapeña
- 1Pedro López
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 02:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eibar have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; AD Ceuta FC have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Mallorca(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 2-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Eibar win, 0 draws, 1 AD Ceuta FC win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Eibar 3-0 AD Ceuta FC | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2025 | AD Ceuta FC 1-0 Eibar | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Eibar score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; AD Ceuta FC score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| AD Ceuta FC | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eibar sit 4th in Segunda División (23 points from 12 matches) and AD Ceuta FC sit 22nd (5 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Eibar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 23 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 5 |
A question about Eibar vs AD Ceuta FC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eibar vs AD Ceuta FC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Eibar the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for AD Ceuta FC.
- Where and when is Eibar vs AD Ceuta FC played?
- Eibar vs AD Ceuta FC is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.