Las Palmas vs Oviedo: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 31Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria
The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Oviedo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Las Palmas wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,223 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Palmas vs Oviedo?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Las Palmas (1,981) and Oviedo (2,005).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Las Palmas vs Oviedo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Las Palmas
5-4-1- 7Jefté Betancor
- 11T. Miyashiro
- 20Kirian Rodríguez
- 24Iván Jaime
- 6Iñaki González Zambrano
- 25Valentín Pezzolesi
- 4Álex Suárez
- 15Juan Herzog
- 23A. Rodriguez
- 21G. Bonfanti
- 13José Caro
Oviedo
4-4-2- 10Alberto Reina
- 18V. Mingo
- 5Y. Didi
- 8Mikel Goti
- 16Aritz Aldasoro
- 32Enzo Perez
- 12Dani Calvo
- 23Carlos Domínguez
- 15S. Rodriguez
- 21David Jiménez
- 13Aarón Escandell
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 07:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Palmas have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Oviedo have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sabadell(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Las Palmas win, 3 draws, 2 Oviedo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2023 | Las Palmas 0-1 Oviedo | Segunda División |
| Dec 6, 2022 | Oviedo 0-0 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| May 21, 2022 | Las Palmas 2-1 Oviedo | Segunda División |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Oviedo 1-1 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Oviedo 0-0 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Las Palmas 1-2 Oviedo | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Las Palmas score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Oviedo score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Oviedo | 1.4 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Las Palmas sit 16th in Segunda División (11 points from 10 matches) and Oviedo sit 9th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Oviedo | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 17 |
| 16 | Las Palmas | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 11 |
A question about Las Palmas vs Oviedo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Palmas vs Oviedo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Oviedo.
- Where and when is Las Palmas vs Oviedo played?
- Las Palmas vs Oviedo is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Gran Canaria, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.