Sporting Gijon vs Mallorca: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 31Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal El Molinón, Gijón
The Footlab model makes Mallorca the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Sporting Gijon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Gijon vs Mallorca?
Mallorca starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (2,071 vs 1,967).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Gijon have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Mallorca have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Racing Santander(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Al-Fateh(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sporting Gijon win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Mallorca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2022 | Mallorca 1-0 Sporting Gijon | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 14, 2021 | Sporting Gijon 2-0 Mallorca | Segunda División |
| Nov 22, 2020 | Mallorca 0-0 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| May 5, 2019 | Mallorca 2-1 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Dec 15, 2018 | Sporting Gijon 1-0 Mallorca | Segunda División |
| Mar 21, 2012 | Sporting Gijon 2-3 Mallorca | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Mallorca vs Sporting Gijon on Jul 27, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Gijon score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Mallorca score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijon | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Mallorca | 1.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting Gijon sit 4th in Segunda División (4 points from 2 matches) and Mallorca sit 8th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sporting Gijon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Mallorca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Gijon vs Mallorca?
- The Footlab model makes Mallorca the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Sporting Gijon.
- Where and when is Sporting Gijon vs Mallorca played?
- Sporting Gijon vs Mallorca is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal El Molinón, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.