Leganes vs Girona: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 31Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganés
The Footlab AI model makes Girona the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Leganes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Girona wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,583 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leganes vs Girona?
Girona starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (2,041 vs 1,891).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leganes vs Girona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leganes
3-4-2-1- 19P. Soko
- 11Naim García
- 17Ismaël Gharbi
- 10Z. Buurmeester
- 8Y. Kechta
- 22Álex Sancris
- 20Miguel Atienza
- 5Ignasi Miquel
- 2Marvel
- 6Lalo Aguilar
- 13L. Zidane
Girona
4-4-2- 9Abel Ruiz
- 19V. Vanat
- 24I. Gonzalez
- 23Carles Pérez
- 8Fran Beltrán
- 22Y. Asprilla
- 11Álex Moreno
- 16Alejandro Francés
- 4Javier Boñar
- 5David López
- 13P. Gazzaniga
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 05:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leganes have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Girona have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mallorca(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Leganes win, 3 draws, 2 Girona wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Girona 1-1 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Apr 24, 2025 | Leganes 1-1 Girona | La Liga |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Girona 4-3 Leganes | La Liga |
| Feb 27, 2022 | Leganes 1-1 Girona | Segunda División |
| Dec 6, 2021 | Girona 3-0 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Feb 7, 2021 | Girona 0-2 Leganes | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Leganes score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Girona score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Girona | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leganes sit 17th in Segunda División (11 points from 10 matches) and Girona sit 7th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Girona | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 15 |
| 17 | Leganes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 11 |
A question about Leganes vs Girona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leganes vs Girona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Girona the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Leganes.
- Where and when is Leganes vs Girona played?
- Leganes vs Girona is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.