Eintracht Norderstedt vs ETSV Hamburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 8Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, Norderstedt
The Footlab model makes ETSV Hamburg the favourite at 64%, against 17% for a draw and 19% for Eintracht Norderstedt. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eintracht Norderstedt vs ETSV Hamburg?
ETSV Hamburg starts as the favourite with a 234-point Elo edge (2,019 vs 1,785).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eintracht Norderstedt have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; ETSV Hamburg have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Weiche Flensburg(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(away) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Kickers Emden(home) | 6-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Schöningen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | HEBC(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Concordia(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Buchholz(home) | 6-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
How many goals should we expect?
Eintracht Norderstedt score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; ETSV Hamburg score 3.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Norderstedt | 1.8 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 10/15 |
| ETSV Hamburg | 3.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ETSV Hamburg | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 126 | 27 | 83 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eintracht Norderstedt vs ETSV Hamburg?
- The Footlab model makes ETSV Hamburg the favourite at 64%, against 17% for a draw and 19% for Eintracht Norderstedt.
- Where and when is Eintracht Norderstedt vs ETSV Hamburg played?
- Eintracht Norderstedt vs ETSV Hamburg is played on September 18, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.