Elassona vs Trikala: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 11Kick-off on December 2, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Elassónas, Elassona
The Footlab AI model makes Elassona the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Trikala. The most likely score is 1-1. If Elassona wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,823 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elassona vs Trikala?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Elassona (1,658) and Trikala (1,655).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Elassona vs Trikala
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Elassona
Not enough data to predict the Elassona lineup.
Trikala
4-3-3- 33S. Milopoulos
- 11V. Efthymiou
- 39E. Zisopoulos
- 21C. Ioannidis
- 31C. Niaros
- 4P. Rizogiannis
- 22D. Sandravelis
- 16G. Govinas
- 23Z. Djaloshi
- 3K. Feutchine
- 12A. Përlleshi
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 02:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elassona have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Trikala have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Iraklis Larissa(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Feraios(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Anthoupoli(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ermis Exochi(away) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(home) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Digenis Neochori(home) | 4-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sarakinos(home) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Iraklis Larissa(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Feraios(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Larisa(home) | 0-4 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Elassona wins, 3 draws, 0 Trikala wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | Elassona 0-0 Trikala | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Elassona 1-1 Trikala | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Trikala 1-1 Elassona | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Elassona score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Trikala score 1.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elassona | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Trikala | 1.1 | 0.6 | 9 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elassona sit 4th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 (3 points from 2 matches) and Trikala sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trikala | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Elassona | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
A question about Elassona vs Trikala?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elassona vs Trikala?
- The Footlab AI model makes Elassona the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Trikala.
- Where and when is Elassona vs Trikala played?
- Elassona vs Trikala is played on December 2, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Elassónas, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.