Malaga vs Racing Santander: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Rosaleda, Málaga
The Footlab AI model makes Malaga the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Racing Santander. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malaga vs Racing Santander?
On Elo ratings, Malaga has 1,964 points and Racing Santander 1,975.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Malaga vs Racing Santander
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Malaga
4-1-4-1- 9Chupe
- 10David Larrubia
- 8Carlos Dotor
- 22Dani Lorenzo
- 11Joaquín Muñoz
- 23Izan Merino
- 15Ángel Recio
- 12José Salinas
- 31Rafita
- 4Einar Galilea
- 1Alfonso Herrero
Racing Santander
4-2-3-1- 21M. Zabiri
- 10Iñigo Vicente
- 23Iván Martín
- 20Sergio Canales
- 15Pablo García
- 18M. Prati
- 2Álvaro Mantilla
- 17Jorge Salinas
- 5Pablo Ramón
- 24J. Belocian
- 13Julen Agirrezabala
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 01:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malaga have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Racing Santander have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Getafe(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Levante(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Real Madrid(away) | 0-4 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 0-5 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 2-7 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(away) | 2-3 | La Liga |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Elche(home) | 3-2 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Malaga wins, 3 draws, 3 Racing Santander wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Malaga 1-1 Racing Santander | Segunda División |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Racing Santander 3-0 Malaga | Segunda División |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Racing Santander 2-1 Malaga | Segunda División |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Malaga 0-0 Racing Santander | Segunda División |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Malaga 0-1 Racing Santander | Segunda División |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Racing Santander 0-0 Malaga | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Malaga vs Racing Santander on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Malaga score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Santander score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Racing Santander | 1.5 | 2.3 | 0 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malaga sit 20th in La Liga (3 points from 7 matches) and Racing Santander sit 16th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Racing Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 7 |
| 20 | Malaga | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 3 |
A question about Malaga vs Racing Santander?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malaga vs Racing Santander?
- The Footlab AI model makes Malaga the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Racing Santander.
- Where and when is Malaga vs Racing Santander played?
- Malaga vs Racing Santander is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Rosaleda, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.