Osasuna vs Athletic Club: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Estadio El Sadar, Iruñea
The Footlab AI model makes Osasuna the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Athletic Club. The most likely score is 1-1. If Osasuna wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,488 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Osasuna vs Athletic Club?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Osasuna (2,037) and Athletic Club (2,109).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Osasuna vs Athletic Club
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Osasuna
4-3-3- 17A. Budimir
- 21Jonathan Dubasin
- 18Raul Moro
- 7Moncayola
- 16Moi Gómez
- 8Iker Muñoz
- 24Catena
- 23Abel Bretones
- 22F. Boyomo
- 19V. Rosier
- 1Sergio Herrera
Athletic Club
4-2-3-1- 21Maroan Sannadi
- 7Álex Berenguer
- 9I. Williams
- 28Peio Canales
- 10Nico Williams
- 24Beñat Gerenabarrena
- 15Hugo Rincón
- 17Yuri
- 14Aymeric Laporte
- 3Dani Vivian
- 1Unai Simón
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osasuna have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Athletic Club have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Atletico Calatayud(away) | 6-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Sevilla(away) | 0-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 2-5 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Prat(away) | 6-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Getafe(home) | 4-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Levante(away) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Valencia(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Osasuna win, 2 draws, 3 Athletic Club wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | Athletic Club 1-0 Osasuna | La Liga |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Osasuna 1-1 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Athletic Club 0-0 Osasuna | La Liga |
| Jan 16, 2025 | Athletic Club 2-3 Osasuna | Copa del Rey |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Osasuna 1-2 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Athletic Club 2-1 Osasuna | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Athletic Club vs Osasuna on Apr 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Osasuna score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Athletic Club score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Athletic Club | 1.7 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Osasuna sit 15th in La Liga (11 points from 11 matches) and Athletic Club sit 7th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Athletic Club | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 15 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 11 |
A question about Osasuna vs Athletic Club?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Osasuna vs Athletic Club?
- The Footlab AI model makes Osasuna the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Athletic Club.
- Where and when is Osasuna vs Athletic Club played?
- Osasuna vs Athletic Club is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Sadar, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.