Eldense vs Burgos: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 35Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat, Elda
The Footlab AI model makes Burgos the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Eldense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Burgos wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eldense vs Burgos?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Eldense (1,929) and Burgos (1,986).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Eldense vs Burgos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Eldense
4-2-3-1- 11Manu Nieto
- 10Fidel
- 15Carlos Guirao
- 14J. Smith
- 33Aingeru Olabarrieta
- 12Roberto López
- 4F. Smand
- 5Alex Serradell
- 19A. Ibarrondo
- 3Juan Larios
- 1Ramón Vila
Burgos
4-4-2- 16Curro Sánchez
- 9Álex Forés
- 19Javi Llabrés
- 14David González
- 12Unai Vencedor
- 20José Gragera
- 15Oier Luengo
- 8Grego
- 22Brais Martínez
- 23Alberto Dadie
- 13Ander Cantero
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eldense have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Burgos have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 11, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Eldense wins, 1 draw, 2 Burgos wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Burgos 1-0 Eldense | Segunda División |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Eldense 0-0 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Burgos 1-0 Eldense | Segunda División |
| May 10, 2024 | Burgos 1-2 Eldense | Segunda División |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Eldense 2-0 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Dec 22, 2022 | Eldense 1-0 Burgos | Copa del Rey |
How many goals should we expect?
Eldense score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Burgos score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Burgos | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eldense sit 14th in Segunda División (11 points from 9 matches) and Burgos sit 8th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Burgos | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 14 |
| 14 | Eldense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
A question about Eldense vs Burgos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eldense vs Burgos?
- The Footlab AI model makes Burgos the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Eldense.
- Where and when is Eldense vs Burgos played?
- Eldense vs Burgos is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.