Emmen vs Heracles: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 35Kick-off on April 23, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen
The Footlab AI model makes Heracles the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Emmen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Heracles wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Emmen vs Heracles?
Heracles starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,816 vs 1,669).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Emmen vs Heracles
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Emmen
4-2-3-1- 9J. Cooper
- 22M. Breij
- 40S. Veldhuis
- 7T. Rhein
- 6C. Staring
- 12F. Quispel
- 17B. Van Hove
- 3Y. Dede-Lhomme
- 24L. Everink
- 25R. Kongolo
- 1S. Karssies
Heracles
4-2-3-1- 27J. N'djoli
- 7C. Abbas
- 32S. Scheperman
- 17T. van Gilst
- 18M. Hauswirth
- 5D. van der Kust
- 4D. Mirani
- 25Manny
- 14M. Wrusch
- 15David Vicente
- 1F. de Keijzer
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Emmen have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Heracles have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | De Graafschap(home) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Emmen wins, 0 draws, 3 Heracles wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2023 | Heracles 1-0 Emmen | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2021 | Emmen 4-1 Heracles | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2021 | Emmen 3-1 Heracles | Eredivisie |
| Jan 12, 2021 | Heracles 4-0 Emmen | Eredivisie |
| Aug 19, 2020 | Emmen 0-2 Heracles | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 19, 2020 | Emmen 1-0 Heracles | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Emmen score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Heracles score 2.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmen | 1.9 | 1.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Heracles | 2.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Emmen sit 4th in Eerste Divisie (19 points from 10 matches) and Heracles sit 1st (25 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Emmen | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 19 |
A question about Emmen vs Heracles?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Emmen vs Heracles?
- The Footlab AI model makes Heracles the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Emmen.
- Where and when is Emmen vs Heracles played?
- Emmen vs Heracles is played on April 23, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at De Oude Meerdijk, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.