Where and when is Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena played?

Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Erzgebirgsstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 15Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Erzgebirgsstadion, Aue

Erzgebirge Aue

FC Carl Zeiss Jena

The Footlab model makes FC Carl Zeiss Jena the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Erzgebirge Aue. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena?

FC Carl Zeiss Jena starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (2,004 vs 1,840).

Erzgebirge Aue win27 %

Draw25 %

FC Carl Zeiss Jena win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erzgebirge Aue have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; FC Carl Zeiss Jena have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Erzgebirge Aue
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Hertha BSC II(home)	0-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 22, 2026	1899 Hoffenheim(home)	0-4	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Chemnitzer FC(away)	1-3	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026	BFC Preussen(home)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 6, 2026	BFC Dynamo(home)	3-2	Regionalliga - Nordost

FC Carl Zeiss Jena
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	SV Darmstadt 98(home)	1-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026	BSG Chemie Leipzig(away)	1-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(home)	1-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026	RSV Eintracht(home)	4-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026	SV Babelsberg 03(away)	1-0	Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Erzgebirge Aue win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 FC Carl Zeiss Jena win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 20, 2024	Erzgebirge Aue 1-3 FC Carl Zeiss Jena	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 17, 2014	FC Carl Zeiss Jena 0-1 Erzgebirge Aue	DFB Pokal

Last archived meeting: Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena on Jul 20, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Erzgebirge Aue score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Carl Zeiss Jena score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Erzgebirge Aue	2.4	1.7	5	9/15	11/15
FC Carl Zeiss Jena	1.9	0.9	7	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Erzgebirge Aue sit 5th in Regionalliga - Nordost (10 points from 5 matches) and FC Carl Zeiss Jena sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Erzgebirge Aue	5	3	1	1	11	9	10
7	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	5	3	0	2	8	4	9

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena?: The Footlab model makes FC Carl Zeiss Jena the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Erzgebirge Aue.
Where and when is Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena played?: Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Erzgebirgsstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.