Luckenwalde vs Hertha BSC II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 15Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion, Luckenwalde
The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC II the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Luckenwalde. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luckenwalde vs Hertha BSC II?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Luckenwalde (1,784) and Hertha BSC II (1,793).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luckenwalde have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Hertha BSC II have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Altglienicke(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(home) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Luckenwalde win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Hertha BSC II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | Hertha BSC II 0-1 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Luckenwalde 0-1 Hertha BSC II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Luckenwalde 1-0 Hertha BSC II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jan 8, 2025 | Hertha BSC II 0-2 Luckenwalde | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Hertha BSC II 2-1 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Hertha BSC II 1-0 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Hertha BSC II vs Luckenwalde on Apr 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Luckenwalde score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Hertha BSC II score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luckenwalde | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Hertha BSC II | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luckenwalde sit 15th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 5 matches) and Hertha BSC II sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hertha BSC II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
| 15 | Luckenwalde | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luckenwalde vs Hertha BSC II?
- The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC II the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Luckenwalde.
- Where and when is Luckenwalde vs Hertha BSC II played?
- Luckenwalde vs Hertha BSC II is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 1, 2026Erzgebirge AuevsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Nov 1, 2026FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsSV Babelsberg 03
- Nov 1, 2026BFC PreussenvsFSV Zwickau
- Nov 1, 2026BFC DynamovsRSV Eintracht
- Nov 1, 2026Lokomotive LeipzigvsAltglienicke
- Nov 1, 2026Tasmania BerlinvsChemnitzer FC
- Nov 1, 2026Greifswalder FCvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Nov 1, 2026Magdeburg IIvsHallescher FC