FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs SV Babelsberg 03: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 15Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Steigerwaldstadion, Erfurt
The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 21% for SV Babelsberg 03. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs SV Babelsberg 03?
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (2,021 vs 1,863).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; SV Babelsberg 03 have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 5-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 6-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hallescher FC(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Altglienicke(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 SV Babelsberg 03 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 4-2 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 18, 2025 | SV Babelsberg 03 0-2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 2, 2025 | SV Babelsberg 03 0-2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 2, 2024 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 1-1 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Apr 7, 2024 | SV Babelsberg 03 3-1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 20, 2023 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 0-1 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs SV Babelsberg 03 on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; SV Babelsberg 03 score 2.8 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 2.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| SV Babelsberg 03 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st in Regionalliga - Nordost (16 points from 6 matches) and SV Babelsberg 03 sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 16 |
| 13 | SV Babelsberg 03 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs SV Babelsberg 03?
- The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 21% for SV Babelsberg 03.
- Where and when is FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs SV Babelsberg 03 played?
- FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs SV Babelsberg 03 is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Steigerwaldstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 1, 2026Erzgebirge AuevsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Nov 1, 2026BFC PreussenvsFSV Zwickau
- Nov 1, 2026BFC DynamovsRSV Eintracht
- Nov 1, 2026Lokomotive LeipzigvsAltglienicke
- Nov 1, 2026LuckenwaldevsHertha BSC II
- Nov 1, 2026Tasmania BerlinvsChemnitzer FC
- Nov 1, 2026Greifswalder FCvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Nov 1, 2026Magdeburg IIvsHallescher FC