Tasmania Berlin vs Chemnitzer FC: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 15Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Tasmania Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tasmania Berlin vs Chemnitzer FC?
Chemnitzer FC starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,991 vs 1,818).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tasmania Berlin have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Chemnitzer FC have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 0-6 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-5 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hallescher FC(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Tasmania Berlin win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Chemnitzer FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2022 | Chemnitzer FC 5-0 Tasmania Berlin | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 28, 2021 | Tasmania Berlin 0-2 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Chemnitzer FC vs Tasmania Berlin on May 15, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chemnitzer FC score 2.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tasmania Berlin | 2.3 | 2.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Chemnitzer FC | 2.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tasmania Berlin sit 16th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 5 matches) and Chemnitzer FC sit 2nd (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Chemnitzer FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
| 16 | Tasmania Berlin | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tasmania Berlin vs Chemnitzer FC?
- The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Tasmania Berlin.
- Where and when is Tasmania Berlin vs Chemnitzer FC played?
- Tasmania Berlin vs Chemnitzer FC is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 1, 2026Erzgebirge AuevsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Nov 1, 2026FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsSV Babelsberg 03
- Nov 1, 2026BFC PreussenvsFSV Zwickau
- Nov 1, 2026BFC DynamovsRSV Eintracht
- Nov 1, 2026Lokomotive LeipzigvsAltglienicke
- Nov 1, 2026LuckenwaldevsHertha BSC II
- Nov 1, 2026Greifswalder FCvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Nov 1, 2026Magdeburg IIvsHallescher FC