Greifswalder FC vs BSG Chemie Leipzig: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 15Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Volksstadion Greifswald, Greifswald
The Footlab model makes Greifswalder FC the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for BSG Chemie Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Greifswalder FC vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?
Greifswalder FC starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,907 vs 1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Greifswalder FC have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; BSG Chemie Leipzig have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Altglienicke(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Greifswalder FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 BSG Chemie Leipzig win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 2-3 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Greifswalder FC 3-0 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Greifswalder FC 0-0 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 31, 2024 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 1-2 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Greifswalder FC 3-0 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 4, 2023 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 0-0 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Greifswalder FC on Dec 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Greifswalder FC score 2.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; BSG Chemie Leipzig score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greifswalder FC | 2.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| BSG Chemie Leipzig | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Greifswalder FC sit 8th in Regionalliga - Nordost (8 points from 5 matches) and BSG Chemie Leipzig sit 18th (1 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 8 |
| 18 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Greifswalder FC vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?
- The Footlab model makes Greifswalder FC the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for BSG Chemie Leipzig.
- Where and when is Greifswalder FC vs BSG Chemie Leipzig played?
- Greifswalder FC vs BSG Chemie Leipzig is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Volksstadion Greifswald, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 1, 2026Erzgebirge AuevsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Nov 1, 2026FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsSV Babelsberg 03
- Nov 1, 2026BFC PreussenvsFSV Zwickau
- Nov 1, 2026BFC DynamovsRSV Eintracht
- Nov 1, 2026Lokomotive LeipzigvsAltglienicke
- Nov 1, 2026LuckenwaldevsHertha BSC II
- Nov 1, 2026Tasmania BerlinvsChemnitzer FC
- Nov 1, 2026Magdeburg IIvsHallescher FC