Match

Erzgebirge Aue vs RSV Eintracht: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 33Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Erzgebirgsstadion, Aue

Erzgebirge AueRSV Eintracht

The Footlab model makes Erzgebirge Aue the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for RSV Eintracht. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Erzgebirge Aue vs RSV Eintracht?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Erzgebirge Aue (1,840) and RSV Eintracht (1,884).

Erzgebirge Aue win38 %
Draw26 %
RSV Eintracht win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erzgebirge Aue have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; RSV Eintracht have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Erzgebirge Aue
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Hertha BSC II(home)0-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 22, 20261899 Hoffenheim(home)0-4DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Chemnitzer FC(away)1-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026BFC Preussen(home)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 6, 2026BFC Dynamo(home)3-2Regionalliga - Nordost
RSV Eintracht
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026FSV Zwickau(home)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 14, 2026SV Babelsberg 03(away)3-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026BSG Chemie Leipzig(home)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away)0-4Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026Luckenwalde(home)3-0Regionalliga - Nordost

How many goals should we expect?

Erzgebirge Aue score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; RSV Eintracht score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Erzgebirge Aue2.41.759/1511/15
RSV Eintracht1.31.149/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Erzgebirge Aue sit 5th in Regionalliga - Nordost (11 points from 6 matches) and RSV Eintracht sit 12th (6 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Erzgebirge Aue632111911
12RSV Eintracht61329116

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Erzgebirge Aue vs RSV Eintracht?
The Footlab model makes Erzgebirge Aue the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for RSV Eintracht.
Where and when is Erzgebirge Aue vs RSV Eintracht played?
Erzgebirge Aue vs RSV Eintracht is played on May 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Erzgebirgsstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Erzgebirge Aue and RSV Eintracht

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