Erzgebirge Aue vs RSV Eintracht: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 33Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Erzgebirgsstadion, Aue
The Footlab model makes Erzgebirge Aue the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for RSV Eintracht. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Erzgebirge Aue vs RSV Eintracht?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Erzgebirge Aue (1,840) and RSV Eintracht (1,884).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erzgebirge Aue have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; RSV Eintracht have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 22, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 0-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 6, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(away) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Luckenwalde(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
How many goals should we expect?
Erzgebirge Aue score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; RSV Eintracht score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge Aue | 2.4 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| RSV Eintracht | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Erzgebirge Aue sit 5th in Regionalliga - Nordost (11 points from 6 matches) and RSV Eintracht sit 12th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Erzgebirge Aue | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 11 |
| 12 | RSV Eintracht | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Erzgebirge Aue vs RSV Eintracht?
- The Footlab model makes Erzgebirge Aue the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for RSV Eintracht.
- Where and when is Erzgebirge Aue vs RSV Eintracht played?
- Erzgebirge Aue vs RSV Eintracht is played on May 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Erzgebirgsstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 16, 2027FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- May 16, 2027BFC PreussenvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- May 16, 2027BFC DynamovsSV Babelsberg 03
- May 16, 2027Lokomotive LeipzigvsFSV Zwickau
- May 16, 2027LuckenwaldevsHallescher FC
- May 16, 2027Tasmania BerlinvsAltglienicke
- May 16, 2027Greifswalder FCvsChemnitzer FC
- May 16, 2027Magdeburg IIvsHertha BSC II