FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs BSG Chemie Leipzig: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 33Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Steigerwaldstadion, Erfurt
The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for BSG Chemie Leipzig. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt starts as the favourite with a 222-point Elo edge (2,021 vs 1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; BSG Chemie Leipzig have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 5-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 6-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hallescher FC(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 BSG Chemie Leipzig win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2-2 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 16, 2025 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 0-1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 14, 2025 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 0-3 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 21, 2024 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 5-1 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 2, 2024 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 1-1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 16, 2023 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 4-2 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs BSG Chemie Leipzig on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; BSG Chemie Leipzig score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 2.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| BSG Chemie Leipzig | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st in Regionalliga - Nordost (16 points from 6 matches) and BSG Chemie Leipzig sit 18th (1 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 16 |
| 18 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?
- The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for BSG Chemie Leipzig.
- Where and when is FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs BSG Chemie Leipzig played?
- FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs BSG Chemie Leipzig is played on May 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Steigerwaldstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 16, 2027Erzgebirge AuevsRSV Eintracht
- May 16, 2027BFC PreussenvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- May 16, 2027BFC DynamovsSV Babelsberg 03
- May 16, 2027Lokomotive LeipzigvsFSV Zwickau
- May 16, 2027LuckenwaldevsHallescher FC
- May 16, 2027Tasmania BerlinvsAltglienicke
- May 16, 2027Greifswalder FCvsChemnitzer FC
- May 16, 2027Magdeburg IIvsHertha BSC II