Match

Greifswalder FC vs Chemnitzer FC: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 33Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Volksstadion Greifswald, Greifswald

Greifswalder FCChemnitzer FC

The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Greifswalder FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Greifswalder FC vs Chemnitzer FC?

A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Greifswalder FC (1,907) and Chemnitzer FC (1,991).

Greifswalder FC win37 %
Draw26 %
Chemnitzer FC win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Greifswalder FC have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Chemnitzer FC have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Greifswalder FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026SV Babelsberg 03(home)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 15, 2026BFC Preussen(away)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 7, 2026Altglienicke(home)1-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026Hertha BSC II(away)4-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026FSV Zwickau(away)3-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Chemnitzer FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(away)2-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 15, 2026Erzgebirge Aue(home)3-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026Hallescher FC(away)0-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026FSV Zwickau(home)3-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026BFC Preussen(home)3-0Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Greifswalder FC win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Chemnitzer FC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 6, 2025Greifswalder FC 0-0 Chemnitzer FCRegionalliga - Nordost
Jul 27, 2025Chemnitzer FC 1-0 Greifswalder FCRegionalliga - Nordost
Mar 29, 2025Chemnitzer FC 2-2 Greifswalder FCRegionalliga - Nordost
Sep 28, 2024Greifswalder FC 1-1 Chemnitzer FCRegionalliga - Nordost
Feb 3, 2024Greifswalder FC 0-0 Chemnitzer FCRegionalliga - Nordost
Aug 16, 2023Chemnitzer FC 1-2 Greifswalder FCRegionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: Greifswalder FC vs Chemnitzer FC on Dec 6, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Greifswalder FC score 2.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chemnitzer FC score 2.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Greifswalder FC2.51.3311/1510/15
Chemnitzer FC2.41.069/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Greifswalder FC sit 8th in Regionalliga - Nordost (8 points from 5 matches) and Chemnitzer FC sit 2nd (16 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Chemnitzer FC651015216
8Greifswalder FC52211178

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Greifswalder FC vs Chemnitzer FC?
The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Greifswalder FC.
Where and when is Greifswalder FC vs Chemnitzer FC played?
Greifswalder FC vs Chemnitzer FC is played on May 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Volksstadion Greifswald, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Greifswalder FC and Chemnitzer FC

Ready to know everything about football?