Greifswalder FC vs Chemnitzer FC: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 33Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Volksstadion Greifswald, Greifswald
The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Greifswalder FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Greifswalder FC vs Chemnitzer FC?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Greifswalder FC (1,907) and Chemnitzer FC (1,991).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Greifswalder FC have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Chemnitzer FC have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Altglienicke(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hallescher FC(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Greifswalder FC win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Chemnitzer FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Greifswalder FC 0-0 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Chemnitzer FC 1-0 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Chemnitzer FC 2-2 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Greifswalder FC 1-1 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Greifswalder FC 0-0 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 16, 2023 | Chemnitzer FC 1-2 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Greifswalder FC vs Chemnitzer FC on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Greifswalder FC score 2.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chemnitzer FC score 2.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greifswalder FC | 2.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Chemnitzer FC | 2.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Greifswalder FC sit 8th in Regionalliga - Nordost (8 points from 5 matches) and Chemnitzer FC sit 2nd (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Chemnitzer FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Greifswalder FC vs Chemnitzer FC?
- The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Greifswalder FC.
- Where and when is Greifswalder FC vs Chemnitzer FC played?
- Greifswalder FC vs Chemnitzer FC is played on May 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Volksstadion Greifswald, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 16, 2027Erzgebirge AuevsRSV Eintracht
- May 16, 2027FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- May 16, 2027BFC PreussenvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- May 16, 2027BFC DynamovsSV Babelsberg 03
- May 16, 2027Lokomotive LeipzigvsFSV Zwickau
- May 16, 2027LuckenwaldevsHallescher FC
- May 16, 2027Tasmania BerlinvsAltglienicke
- May 16, 2027Magdeburg IIvsHertha BSC II