Lokomotive Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 33Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Bruno-Plache-Stadion, Leipzig
The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for FSV Zwickau. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotive Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Lokomotive Leipzig (1,971) and FSV Zwickau (1,928).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotive Leipzig have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; FSV Zwickau have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Luckenwalde(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lokomotive Leipzig win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 FSV Zwickau win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | Lokomotive Leipzig 0-2 FSV Zwickau | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2025 | FSV Zwickau 1-1 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 28, 2025 | FSV Zwickau 2-1 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 11, 2024 | Lokomotive Leipzig 3-2 FSV Zwickau | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| May 19, 2024 | Lokomotive Leipzig 2-0 FSV Zwickau | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Dec 9, 2023 | FSV Zwickau 3-2 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotive Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau on Dec 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotive Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FSV Zwickau score 2.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotive Leipzig | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| FSV Zwickau | 2.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotive Leipzig sit 6th in Regionalliga - Nordost (10 points from 6 matches) and FSV Zwickau sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| 10 | FSV Zwickau | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotive Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau?
- The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for FSV Zwickau.
- Where and when is Lokomotive Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau played?
- Lokomotive Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau is played on May 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Bruno-Plache-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 16, 2027Erzgebirge AuevsRSV Eintracht
- May 16, 2027FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- May 16, 2027BFC PreussenvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- May 16, 2027BFC DynamovsSV Babelsberg 03
- May 16, 2027LuckenwaldevsHallescher FC
- May 16, 2027Tasmania BerlinvsAltglienicke
- May 16, 2027Greifswalder FCvsChemnitzer FC
- May 16, 2027Magdeburg IIvsHertha BSC II