Tasmania Berlin vs Altglienicke: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 33Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Altglienicke the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Tasmania Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tasmania Berlin vs Altglienicke?
Altglienicke starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,955 vs 1,818).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tasmania Berlin have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Altglienicke have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 0-6 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-5 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(home) | 3-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Tasmania Berlin win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Altglienicke win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2025 | Tasmania Berlin 1-4 Altglienicke | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 3, 2024 | Tasmania Berlin 0-2 Altglienicke | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 5, 2022 | Altglienicke 5-1 Tasmania Berlin | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Tasmania Berlin 1-1 Altglienicke | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Tasmania Berlin vs Altglienicke on Jan 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Altglienicke score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tasmania Berlin | 2.3 | 2.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Altglienicke | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tasmania Berlin sit 16th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 5 matches) and Altglienicke sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Altglienicke | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 11 |
| 16 | Tasmania Berlin | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tasmania Berlin vs Altglienicke?
- The Footlab model makes Altglienicke the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Tasmania Berlin.
- Where and when is Tasmania Berlin vs Altglienicke played?
- Tasmania Berlin vs Altglienicke is played on May 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 16, 2027Erzgebirge AuevsRSV Eintracht
- May 16, 2027FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- May 16, 2027BFC PreussenvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- May 16, 2027BFC DynamovsSV Babelsberg 03
- May 16, 2027Lokomotive LeipzigvsFSV Zwickau
- May 16, 2027LuckenwaldevsHallescher FC
- May 16, 2027Greifswalder FCvsChemnitzer FC
- May 16, 2027Magdeburg IIvsHertha BSC II